Trader consensus on 31–32°C highs for Shanghai on August 30 reflects model agreement on a warm, humid subtropical pattern with southeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover. Multiple forecasts from official and commercial sources project daytime maxima of 31–32°C amid 60–85% rain and thunderstorm chances that limit surface heating. Recent model runs show little divergence on peak values, with only modest upside risk to 33°C under brief clearing and downside to 30°C if heavier rain arrives earlier. High humidity and dew points near 26–28°C further anchor the distribution, consistent with late-August climatology where Shanghai averages near 31°C but cloud and precipitation frequently cap extremes. New observational data and overnight model updates could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Xangai no dia 30 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Xangai no dia 30 de agosto?
32°C 50%
31°C 39%
30°C 6%
33°C 5%
NOVO
$20,576 Vol.
NOVO
$20,576 Vol.
30 ago 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
6%
31°C
39%
32°C
50%
33°C
5%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 50%
31°C 39%
30°C 6%
33°C 5%
NOVO
$20,576 Vol.
NOVO
$20,576 Vol.
30 ago 2026
26°C or below
$241 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,048 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$792 Vol.
1%
30°C
$3,073 Vol.
6%
31°C
$6,720 Vol.
39%
32°C
$4,347 Vol.
50%
33°C
$2,555 Vol.
5%
34°C
$1,111 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$422 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$233 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on 31–32°C highs for Shanghai on August 30 reflects model agreement on a warm, humid subtropical pattern with southeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover. Multiple forecasts from official and commercial sources project daytime maxima of 31–32°C amid 60–85% rain and thunderstorm chances that limit surface heating. Recent model runs show little divergence on peak values, with only modest upside risk to 33°C under brief clearing and downside to 30°C if heavier rain arrives earlier. High humidity and dew points near 26–28°C further anchor the distribution, consistent with late-August climatology where Shanghai averages near 31°C but cloud and precipitation frequently cap extremes. New observational data and overnight model updates could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$20,576Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on 31–32°C highs for Shanghai on August 30 reflects model agreement on a warm, humid subtropical pattern with southeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover. Multiple forecasts from official and commercial sources project daytime maxima of 31–32°C amid 60–85% rain and thunderstorm chances that limit surface heating. Recent model runs show little divergence on peak values, with only modest upside risk to 33°C under brief clearing and downside to 30°C if heavier rain arrives earlier. High humidity and dew points near 26–28°C further anchor the distribution, consistent with late-August climatology where Shanghai averages near 31°C but cloud and precipitation frequently cap extremes. New observational data and overnight model updates could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20,576Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on 31–32°C highs for Shanghai on August 30 reflects model agreement on a warm, humid subtropical pattern with southeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover. Multiple forecasts from official and commercial sources project daytime maxima of 31–32°C amid 60–85% rain and thunderstorm chances that limit surface heating. Recent model runs show little divergence on peak values, with only modest upside risk to 33°C under brief clearing and downside to 30°C if heavier rain arrives earlier. High humidity and dew points near 26–28°C further anchor the distribution, consistent with late-August climatology where Shanghai averages near 31°C but cloud and precipitation frequently cap extremes. New observational data and overnight model updates could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions