Recent forecasts indicate São Paulo remains under a strong warm, dry air mass through August 31, with models from sources like Worldmeteo projecting highs near 37°C and others (WeatherBug, Met Office, Yr.no) clustering around 31–34°C before a cold front and rain arrive September 1, sharply dropping temperatures. This late-winter heat anomaly—well above the typical 23–25°C August average high—stems from persistent northwesterly flow and subsidence, though exact peak values depend on cloud cover, wind shifts, and urban measurement stations. Trader consensus heavily weighting 29°C or below (39%) reflects uncertainty in model timing of frontal passage and resolution criteria, with probabilities declining for 30°C+ outcomes as the event nears and cooler advection becomes more likely by day's end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 31 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 31 de agosto?
29°C ou menos 40%
30°C 17%
31°C 14%
32°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
29°C ou menos
46%
30°C
17%
31°C
14%
32°C
11%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C ou mais
<1%
29°C ou menos 40%
30°C 17%
31°C 14%
32°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
29°C ou menos
$1,193 Vol.
46%
30°C
$202 Vol.
17%
31°C
$137 Vol.
14%
32°C
$90 Vol.
11%
33°C
$381 Vol.
7%
34°C
$119 Vol.
3%
35°C
$45 Vol.
3%
36°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
39°C ou mais
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate São Paulo remains under a strong warm, dry air mass through August 31, with models from sources like Worldmeteo projecting highs near 37°C and others (WeatherBug, Met Office, Yr.no) clustering around 31–34°C before a cold front and rain arrive September 1, sharply dropping temperatures. This late-winter heat anomaly—well above the typical 23–25°C August average high—stems from persistent northwesterly flow and subsidence, though exact peak values depend on cloud cover, wind shifts, and urban measurement stations. Trader consensus heavily weighting 29°C or below (39%) reflects uncertainty in model timing of frontal passage and resolution criteria, with probabilities declining for 30°C+ outcomes as the event nears and cooler advection becomes more likely by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$2,217Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate São Paulo remains under a strong warm, dry air mass through August 31, with models from sources like Worldmeteo projecting highs near 37°C and others (WeatherBug, Met Office, Yr.no) clustering around 31–34°C before a cold front and rain arrive September 1, sharply dropping temperatures. This late-winter heat anomaly—well above the typical 23–25°C August average high—stems from persistent northwesterly flow and subsidence, though exact peak values depend on cloud cover, wind shifts, and urban measurement stations. Trader consensus heavily weighting 29°C or below (39%) reflects uncertainty in model timing of frontal passage and resolution criteria, with probabilities declining for 30°C+ outcomes as the event nears and cooler advection becomes more likely by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,217Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate São Paulo remains under a strong warm, dry air mass through August 31, with models from sources like Worldmeteo projecting highs near 37°C and others (WeatherBug, Met Office, Yr.no) clustering around 31–34°C before a cold front and rain arrive September 1, sharply dropping temperatures. This late-winter heat anomaly—well above the typical 23–25°C August average high—stems from persistent northwesterly flow and subsidence, though exact peak values depend on cloud cover, wind shifts, and urban measurement stations. Trader consensus heavily weighting 29°C or below (39%) reflects uncertainty in model timing of frontal passage and resolution criteria, with probabilities declining for 30°C+ outcomes as the event nears and cooler advection becomes more likely by day's end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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