Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered light rain and northerly flow over Tokyo on August 30, limiting daytime solar heating and suppressing maximum temperatures to the 26–28 °C range. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity from the current unsettled pattern reduce surface warming relative to typical late-August climatology near 30 °C. Market-implied odds concentrate on 27 °C (38 %) and nearby values because these align with the latest model consensus and observed cooling trends from the prior 48 hours. Traders weigh the low probability of rapid clearing against the risk of slight model revisions before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 30 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 30 de agosto?
27°C 38%
28°C 22%
26°C 22%
29°C 7%
NOVO
$14,822 Vol.
NOVO
$14,822 Vol.
30 ago 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
22%
27°C
38%
28°C
22%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 38%
28°C 22%
26°C 22%
29°C 7%
NOVO
$14,822 Vol.
NOVO
$14,822 Vol.
30 ago 2026
23°C or below
$1,199 Vol.
1%
24°C
$446 Vol.
1%
25°C
$873 Vol.
5%
26°C
$1,499 Vol.
22%
27°C
$1,734 Vol.
38%
28°C
$2,962 Vol.
22%
29°C
$2,532 Vol.
7%
30°C
$1,158 Vol.
3%
31°C
$388 Vol.
2%
32°C
$970 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$1,062 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered light rain and northerly flow over Tokyo on August 30, limiting daytime solar heating and suppressing maximum temperatures to the 26–28 °C range. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity from the current unsettled pattern reduce surface warming relative to typical late-August climatology near 30 °C. Market-implied odds concentrate on 27 °C (38 %) and nearby values because these align with the latest model consensus and observed cooling trends from the prior 48 hours. Traders weigh the low probability of rapid clearing against the risk of slight model revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$14,822Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered light rain and northerly flow over Tokyo on August 30, limiting daytime solar heating and suppressing maximum temperatures to the 26–28 °C range. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity from the current unsettled pattern reduce surface warming relative to typical late-August climatology near 30 °C. Market-implied odds concentrate on 27 °C (38 %) and nearby values because these align with the latest model consensus and observed cooling trends from the prior 48 hours. Traders weigh the low probability of rapid clearing against the risk of slight model revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,822Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate mostly cloudy skies with scattered light rain and northerly flow over Tokyo on August 30, limiting daytime solar heating and suppressing maximum temperatures to the 26–28 °C range. Persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity from the current unsettled pattern reduce surface warming relative to typical late-August climatology near 30 °C. Market-implied odds concentrate on 27 °C (38 %) and nearby values because these align with the latest model consensus and observed cooling trends from the prior 48 hours. Traders weigh the low probability of rapid clearing against the risk of slight model revisions before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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