Recent model consensus points to a Tokyo minimum near 20–21 °C on 30 August, with persistent overcast skies and light northerly flow limiting nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity near 85–90 %. Recent days have featured cooler-than-normal conditions and scattered rain that further dampened daytime heating, keeping the overnight low tightly clustered around these values. Small differences in cloud timing or wind speed could shift the recorded minimum by 1 °C, which explains the near-even market split between the two leading outcomes. Updated guidance from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency will refine the exact threshold ahead of midnight resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 30 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 30 de agosto?
20°C 50%
21°C 29%
19°C 9.3%
18°C 1.1%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
9%
20°C
49%
21°C
38%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
20°C 50%
21°C 29%
19°C 9.3%
18°C 1.1%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
17°C or below
$393 Vol.
1%
18°C
$211 Vol.
1%
19°C
$168 Vol.
9%
20°C
$269 Vol.
49%
21°C
$832 Vol.
38%
22°C
$3,562 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,629 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$234 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$193 Vol.
1%
26°C
$247 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$252 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to a Tokyo minimum near 20–21 °C on 30 August, with persistent overcast skies and light northerly flow limiting nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity near 85–90 %. Recent days have featured cooler-than-normal conditions and scattered rain that further dampened daytime heating, keeping the overnight low tightly clustered around these values. Small differences in cloud timing or wind speed could shift the recorded minimum by 1 °C, which explains the near-even market split between the two leading outcomes. Updated guidance from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency will refine the exact threshold ahead of midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$7,992Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to a Tokyo minimum near 20–21 °C on 30 August, with persistent overcast skies and light northerly flow limiting nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity near 85–90 %. Recent days have featured cooler-than-normal conditions and scattered rain that further dampened daytime heating, keeping the overnight low tightly clustered around these values. Small differences in cloud timing or wind speed could shift the recorded minimum by 1 °C, which explains the near-even market split between the two leading outcomes. Updated guidance from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency will refine the exact threshold ahead of midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,992Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus points to a Tokyo minimum near 20–21 °C on 30 August, with persistent overcast skies and light northerly flow limiting nocturnal radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity near 85–90 %. Recent days have featured cooler-than-normal conditions and scattered rain that further dampened daytime heating, keeping the overnight low tightly clustered around these values. Small differences in cloud timing or wind speed could shift the recorded minimum by 1 °C, which explains the near-even market split between the two leading outcomes. Updated guidance from agencies such as the Japan Meteorological Agency will refine the exact threshold ahead of midnight resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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