Recent forecast runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a mostly cloudy Monday in Tokyo with light easterly flow and a chance of scattered drizzle, limiting surface heating and supporting daily maxima clustered around 28–31 °C. Persistent high humidity and overnight cloud cover have kept the boundary layer moist, reducing the diurnal temperature range compared with clearer late-August climatology. Minor differences among ensemble members arise from the precise timing and coverage of any midday showers and slight variations in 850 hPa temperatures, producing the tight market distribution across 29 °C, 30 °C, and 31 °C. Updated model guidance and any late-day convective development will be the key near-term drivers ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio em 31 de agosto?
30°C 28%
29°C 27%
31°C 24%
28°C 16%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
16%
29°C
27%
30°C
28%
31°C
24%
32°C
7%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 28%
29°C 27%
31°C 24%
28°C 16%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
4%
28°C
16%
29°C
27%
30°C
28%
31°C
24%
32°C
7%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a mostly cloudy Monday in Tokyo with light easterly flow and a chance of scattered drizzle, limiting surface heating and supporting daily maxima clustered around 28–31 °C. Persistent high humidity and overnight cloud cover have kept the boundary layer moist, reducing the diurnal temperature range compared with clearer late-August climatology. Minor differences among ensemble members arise from the precise timing and coverage of any midday showers and slight variations in 850 hPa temperatures, producing the tight market distribution across 29 °C, 30 °C, and 31 °C. Updated model guidance and any late-day convective development will be the key near-term drivers ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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