Recent forecast model runs for São Paulo show notable divergence in overnight cooling on August 28, with some guidance indicating minimums near 15–17 °C under clear skies and light northeasterly flow while others hold closer to 19–21 °C amid residual warmth and higher dew points. This spread stems from differences in boundary-layer moisture and the timing of any subtle frontal approach, against a backdrop of above-normal daytime highs exceeding 30 °C. Historical climatology places typical late-August lows around 12–15 °C, so current conditions reflect suppressed radiative cooling. Traders appear to weigh the latest high-resolution runs against ensemble consensus ahead of final observational data, producing closely matched probabilities across the 19 °C and sub-10 °C brackets.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em São Paulo no dia 28 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em São Paulo no dia 28 de agosto?
10°C ou menos 86%
19°C 84%
20°C ou mais 75%
12°C 48%
NOVO
NOVO
28 ago 2026
10°C ou menos
86%
11°C
47%
12°C
48%
13°C
48%
14°C
48%
15°C
32%
16°C
31%
17°C
26%
18°C
48%
19°C
84%
20°C ou mais
75%
10°C ou menos 86%
19°C 84%
20°C ou mais 75%
12°C 48%
NOVO
NOVO
28 ago 2026
10°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
86%
11°C
$0 Vol.
47%
12°C
$0 Vol.
48%
13°C
$0 Vol.
48%
14°C
$0 Vol.
48%
15°C
$0 Vol.
32%
16°C
$0 Vol.
31%
17°C
$0 Vol.
26%
18°C
$0 Vol.
48%
19°C
$0 Vol.
84%
20°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
75%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for São Paulo show notable divergence in overnight cooling on August 28, with some guidance indicating minimums near 15–17 °C under clear skies and light northeasterly flow while others hold closer to 19–21 °C amid residual warmth and higher dew points. This spread stems from differences in boundary-layer moisture and the timing of any subtle frontal approach, against a backdrop of above-normal daytime highs exceeding 30 °C. Historical climatology places typical late-August lows around 12–15 °C, so current conditions reflect suppressed radiative cooling. Traders appear to weigh the latest high-resolution runs against ensemble consensus ahead of final observational data, producing closely matched probabilities across the 19 °C and sub-10 °C brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
28 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for São Paulo show notable divergence in overnight cooling on August 28, with some guidance indicating minimums near 15–17 °C under clear skies and light northeasterly flow while others hold closer to 19–21 °C amid residual warmth and higher dew points. This spread stems from differences in boundary-layer moisture and the timing of any subtle frontal approach, against a backdrop of above-normal daytime highs exceeding 30 °C. Historical climatology places typical late-August lows around 12–15 °C, so current conditions reflect suppressed radiative cooling. Traders appear to weigh the latest high-resolution runs against ensemble consensus ahead of final observational data, producing closely matched probabilities across the 19 °C and sub-10 °C brackets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data de Término
28 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs for São Paulo show notable divergence in overnight cooling on August 28, with some guidance indicating minimums near 15–17 °C under clear skies and light northeasterly flow while others hold closer to 19–21 °C amid residual warmth and higher dew points. This spread stems from differences in boundary-layer moisture and the timing of any subtle frontal approach, against a backdrop of above-normal daytime highs exceeding 30 °C. Historical climatology places typical late-August lows around 12–15 °C, so current conditions reflect suppressed radiative cooling. Traders appear to weigh the latest high-resolution runs against ensemble consensus ahead of final observational data, producing closely matched probabilities across the 19 °C and sub-10 °C brackets.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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