National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 26 call for a high near 104°F under mostly sunny skies, with southwesterly winds shifting northwest and heat indices reaching 107°F, amid an ongoing heat wave that has produced recent daily maxima of 105–109°F. This official guidance, consistent across multiple NWS updates, drives trader emphasis on 102–105°F bins despite market-implied probabilities peaking lower at 100–101°F, likely reflecting model spread on boundary influences and modest cooling from an approaching weak front. Historical August averages near 95°F underscore the anomalous warmth, with resolution hinging on the precise daily maximum observed at official stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Dallas em 26 de agosto?
100-101°F 29%
102-103°F 27%
98-99°F 20%
104-105°F 14%
95°F or below
1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
20%
100-101°F
29%
102-103°F
27%
104-105°F
14%
106-107°F
7%
108-109°F
2%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
2%
114°F or higher
1%
100-101°F 29%
102-103°F 27%
98-99°F 20%
104-105°F 14%
95°F or below
1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
20%
100-101°F
29%
102-103°F
27%
104-105°F
14%
106-107°F
7%
108-109°F
2%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
2%
114°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 26 call for a high near 104°F under mostly sunny skies, with southwesterly winds shifting northwest and heat indices reaching 107°F, amid an ongoing heat wave that has produced recent daily maxima of 105–109°F. This official guidance, consistent across multiple NWS updates, drives trader emphasis on 102–105°F bins despite market-implied probabilities peaking lower at 100–101°F, likely reflecting model spread on boundary influences and modest cooling from an approaching weak front. Historical August averages near 95°F underscore the anomalous warmth, with resolution hinging on the precise daily maximum observed at official stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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