Current forecasts from Environment Canada and major models point to a low near 14°C in Toronto overnight on August 28 under mostly clear skies and light northwest winds, yet the market shows 10°C or below leading at 36.5% with several bins clustered tightly around 13–14°C. This tight distribution reflects uncertainty in the precise minimum driven by radiational cooling rates under varying cloud cover, the strength of cool-air advection from the northwest, and microscale influences from Lake Ontario’s moderating effect. Traders weigh the potential for slightly stronger nocturnal cooling against urban heat retention and any late-evening cloud increases that could limit temperature drops.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Toronto em 28 de agosto?
10°C ou menos 73%
11°C 50%
12°C 50%
14°C 28%
10°C ou menos
73%
11°C
50%
12°C
50%
13°C
27%
14°C
28%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
26%
18°C
8%
19°C
1%
20°C ou mais
1%
10°C ou menos 73%
11°C 50%
12°C 50%
14°C 28%
10°C ou menos
73%
11°C
50%
12°C
50%
13°C
27%
14°C
28%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
26%
18°C
8%
19°C
1%
20°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Environment Canada and major models point to a low near 14°C in Toronto overnight on August 28 under mostly clear skies and light northwest winds, yet the market shows 10°C or below leading at 36.5% with several bins clustered tightly around 13–14°C. This tight distribution reflects uncertainty in the precise minimum driven by radiational cooling rates under varying cloud cover, the strength of cool-air advection from the northwest, and microscale influences from Lake Ontario’s moderating effect. Traders weigh the potential for slightly stronger nocturnal cooling against urban heat retention and any late-evening cloud increases that could limit temperature drops.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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