Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models indicate Austin's overnight low on August 29 will settle in the mid-70s under clear skies, light southerly flow, and residual heat from daytime highs near 100°F. These conditions limit radiational cooling typical in drier or windier setups, keeping surface temperatures elevated compared to the 71.7°F climatological average. With several temperature bins clustered near 25–30% implied probability, traders weigh minor variations in dew point, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the minimum a degree or two. Updated model runs and airport observations through the night remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Austin em 29 de agosto?
86°F ou mais 86%
78-79°F 50%
67°F or below 29%
74-75°F 28%
67°F or below
29%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
50%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
5%
86°F ou mais
86%
86°F ou mais 86%
78-79°F 50%
67°F or below 29%
74-75°F 28%
67°F or below
29%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
50%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
5%
86°F ou mais
86%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and models indicate Austin's overnight low on August 29 will settle in the mid-70s under clear skies, light southerly flow, and residual heat from daytime highs near 100°F. These conditions limit radiational cooling typical in drier or windier setups, keeping surface temperatures elevated compared to the 71.7°F climatological average. With several temperature bins clustered near 25–30% implied probability, traders weigh minor variations in dew point, cloud cover, and boundary-layer mixing that could nudge the minimum a degree or two. Updated model runs and airport observations through the night remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in consensus.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions