Official National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate a high near 99°F for Austin on August 29 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds, positioning the 98-99°F outcome as the market leader. Persistent high pressure and limited moisture have suppressed cloud cover and rainfall chances below 10%, allowing strong daytime heating consistent with late-summer climatology. Heat-index values are expected to reach 102–106°F due to humidity near 40% at peak temperature, though official resolution uses dry-bulb readings. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with only modest upside risk to 100–101°F if insolation exceeds expectations, while cooler bins remain unlikely absent an unforecast frontal passage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Austin em 29 de agosto?
98-99°F 55%
100-101°F 24%
96-97°F 12%
102-103°F 4%
89°F ou menos
<1%
32-33°C
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
12%
98-99°F
55%
100-101°F
24%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F ou mais
<1%
98-99°F 55%
100-101°F 24%
96-97°F 12%
102-103°F 4%
89°F ou menos
<1%
32-33°C
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
12%
98-99°F
55%
100-101°F
24%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance indicate a high near 99°F for Austin on August 29 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds, positioning the 98-99°F outcome as the market leader. Persistent high pressure and limited moisture have suppressed cloud cover and rainfall chances below 10%, allowing strong daytime heating consistent with late-summer climatology. Heat-index values are expected to reach 102–106°F due to humidity near 40% at peak temperature, though official resolution uses dry-bulb readings. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with only modest upside risk to 100–101°F if insolation exceeds expectations, while cooler bins remain unlikely absent an unforecast frontal passage.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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