Recent forecast runs from agencies including Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models show high pressure and light easterly flow supporting a daytime high near 18–19 °C for Buenos Aires on 30 August, with limited diurnal mixing and dry conditions. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet slight upward revisions in several guidance packages have aligned trader consensus with the 21 °C outcome at 61 % implied probability. Historical late-August maxima average 16–18 °C, so current guidance sits modestly above climatology; further model updates overnight and morning observations will determine whether the distribution shifts toward 20 °C or 22 °C before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Buenos Aires no dia 30 de agosto?
21°C 61%
20°C 20%
22°C 17%
19°C 5%
13°C ou menos
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
20%
21°C
61%
22°C
17%
23°C ou mais
4%
21°C 61%
20°C 20%
22°C 17%
19°C 5%
13°C ou menos
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
20%
21°C
61%
22°C
17%
23°C ou mais
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs from agencies including Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global models show high pressure and light easterly flow supporting a daytime high near 18–19 °C for Buenos Aires on 30 August, with limited diurnal mixing and dry conditions. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, yet slight upward revisions in several guidance packages have aligned trader consensus with the 21 °C outcome at 61 % implied probability. Historical late-August maxima average 16–18 °C, so current guidance sits modestly above climatology; further model updates overnight and morning observations will determine whether the distribution shifts toward 20 °C or 22 °C before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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