Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate a nighttime low for Mexico City on August 30 likely in the 11–14°C range, reflecting typical late-summer conditions during the rainy season at 2,240 meters elevation. Cloud cover, scattered showers, and light winds limit radiative cooling while the urban heat island effect moderates extremes; recent observations show overnight minima holding near 13°C amid moderate humidity. Trader sentiment remains dispersed across 11–16°C outcomes because ensemble forecasts diverge on exact timing of clearing skies and precipitation intensity, which directly influence the daily minimum recorded at official stations. Historical August lows average around 12–14°C, providing context for why sub-10°C probabilities stay low absent unusual cold-air advection.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa na Cidade do México em 30 de agosto?
6°C ou menos 60%
13°C 28%
12°C 27%
14°C 27%
6°C ou menos
60%
7°C
2%
8°C
10%
9°C
5%
10°C
11%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
28%
14°C
27%
15°C
24%
16°C ou mais
24%
6°C ou menos 60%
13°C 28%
12°C 27%
14°C 27%
6°C ou menos
60%
7°C
2%
8°C
10%
9°C
5%
10°C
11%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
28%
14°C
27%
15°C
24%
16°C ou mais
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate a nighttime low for Mexico City on August 30 likely in the 11–14°C range, reflecting typical late-summer conditions during the rainy season at 2,240 meters elevation. Cloud cover, scattered showers, and light winds limit radiative cooling while the urban heat island effect moderates extremes; recent observations show overnight minima holding near 13°C amid moderate humidity. Trader sentiment remains dispersed across 11–16°C outcomes because ensemble forecasts diverge on exact timing of clearing skies and precipitation intensity, which directly influence the daily minimum recorded at official stations. Historical August lows average around 12–14°C, providing context for why sub-10°C probabilities stay low absent unusual cold-air advection.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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