Official observations from the National Weather Service confirmed a maximum temperature of 101°F at Dallas/Fort Worth on August 27, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's 100–101°F outcome at near-certain implied probability. A persistent late-August heat wave, with highs reaching 108°F on the prior two days amid above-normal departures of 7–14°F from the 94°F climatological average, created strong expectations for continued extreme heat. National Weather Service model guidance and surface observations reinforced this trajectory, with minimal precipitation and light winds limiting cooling. Scenarios that could have altered resolution include a sharper influx of Gulf moisture triggering earlier cloud cover or convective cooling, or a faster steering pattern shift that lowered the actual peak below 100°F.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Dallas em 27 de agosto?
100-101°F 100.0%
93°F or below <1%
94-95°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
$41,366 Vol.
$41,366 Vol.
93°F or below
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
Yes
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108-109°F
No
110-111°F
No
112°F or higher
No
100-101°F 100.0%
93°F or below <1%
94-95°F <1%
96-97°F <1%
$41,366 Vol.
$41,366 Vol.
93°F or below
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
Yes
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108-109°F
No
110-111°F
No
112°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Official observations from the National Weather Service confirmed a maximum temperature of 101°F at Dallas/Fort Worth on August 27, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's 100–101°F outcome at near-certain implied probability. A persistent late-August heat wave, with highs reaching 108°F on the prior two days amid above-normal departures of 7–14°F from the 94°F climatological average, created strong expectations for continued extreme heat. National Weather Service model guidance and surface observations reinforced this trajectory, with minimal precipitation and light winds limiting cooling. Scenarios that could have altered resolution include a sharper influx of Gulf moisture triggering earlier cloud cover or convective cooling, or a faster steering pattern shift that lowered the actual peak below 100°F.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions