Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Met Office and GFS indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly winds over Amsterdam on August 30, suppressing daytime heating and pointing to a maximum temperature of 20–22°C. This unsettled Atlantic-driven pattern, typical for late August in the region, aligns with historical averages near 20°C and explains the tight market split between 21°C and 22°C outcomes. Minor variations in shower timing or breaks in cloud could shift the daily high by 1°C, while stronger winds or heavier rain would favor the lower end. Updated model guidance expected within 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria around official KNMI measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 30 de agosto?
22°C 47%
21°C 41%
23°C 10%
20°C 6%
16°C ou menos
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
6%
21°C
41%
22°C
47%
23°C
10%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C ou mais
1%
22°C 47%
21°C 41%
23°C 10%
20°C 6%
16°C ou menos
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
6%
21°C
41%
22°C
47%
23°C
10%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C ou mais
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources including the Met Office and GFS indicate persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate southwesterly winds over Amsterdam on August 30, suppressing daytime heating and pointing to a maximum temperature of 20–22°C. This unsettled Atlantic-driven pattern, typical for late August in the region, aligns with historical averages near 20°C and explains the tight market split between 21°C and 22°C outcomes. Minor variations in shower timing or breaks in cloud could shift the daily high by 1°C, while stronger winds or heavier rain would favor the lower end. Updated model guidance expected within 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria around official KNMI measurements.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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