Recent official forecasts from IMGW-PIB and multiple European models converge on a maximum of 26–27 °C for Warsaw on 30 August under weakening high pressure centered over Finland and Russia, with southerly flow, light winds, and partly cloudy skies allowing modest daytime heating. Surface observations on 28–29 August show afternoon peaks near 25–26 °C amid the same air mass, while ensemble guidance indicates limited potential for 28 °C if insolation exceeds expectations or for 25 °C if cloud cover thickens earlier than modeled. The tight spread between the 43.5 % and 38 % implied probabilities for 27 °C versus 26 °C reflects this narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range summer temperature forecasts over central Europe.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 30 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Varsóvia em 30 de agosto?
27°C 44%
26°C 38%
28°C 11%
25°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
5%
26°C
38%
27°C
44%
28°C
11%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 44%
26°C 38%
28°C 11%
25°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
21°C or below
$253 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$111 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$48 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$13 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$261 Vol.
5%
26°C
$416 Vol.
38%
27°C
$595 Vol.
44%
28°C
$477 Vol.
11%
29°C
$151 Vol.
3%
30°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$263 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from IMGW-PIB and multiple European models converge on a maximum of 26–27 °C for Warsaw on 30 August under weakening high pressure centered over Finland and Russia, with southerly flow, light winds, and partly cloudy skies allowing modest daytime heating. Surface observations on 28–29 August show afternoon peaks near 25–26 °C amid the same air mass, while ensemble guidance indicates limited potential for 28 °C if insolation exceeds expectations or for 25 °C if cloud cover thickens earlier than modeled. The tight spread between the 43.5 % and 38 % implied probabilities for 27 °C versus 26 °C reflects this narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range summer temperature forecasts over central Europe.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,616Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from IMGW-PIB and multiple European models converge on a maximum of 26–27 °C for Warsaw on 30 August under weakening high pressure centered over Finland and Russia, with southerly flow, light winds, and partly cloudy skies allowing modest daytime heating. Surface observations on 28–29 August show afternoon peaks near 25–26 °C amid the same air mass, while ensemble guidance indicates limited potential for 28 °C if insolation exceeds expectations or for 25 °C if cloud cover thickens earlier than modeled. The tight spread between the 43.5 % and 38 % implied probabilities for 27 °C versus 26 °C reflects this narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range summer temperature forecasts over central Europe.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,616Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from IMGW-PIB and multiple European models converge on a maximum of 26–27 °C for Warsaw on 30 August under weakening high pressure centered over Finland and Russia, with southerly flow, light winds, and partly cloudy skies allowing modest daytime heating. Surface observations on 28–29 August show afternoon peaks near 25–26 °C amid the same air mass, while ensemble guidance indicates limited potential for 28 °C if insolation exceeds expectations or for 25 °C if cloud cover thickens earlier than modeled. The tight spread between the 43.5 % and 38 % implied probabilities for 27 °C versus 26 °C reflects this narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range summer temperature forecasts over central Europe.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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