**Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance indicate a typical late-August marine-influenced night for San Francisco on August 29, with the daily minimum expected in the mid-50s.** Onshore westerly flow, combined with a strengthening pressure gradient, supports partly cloudy to clear conditions after any morning marine layer, allowing radiational cooling under light winds. This aligns with climatological averages near 56°F and recent model consensus showing lows of 55–56°F at key stations such as San Francisco International Airport. The market’s tight clustering around 56–59°F reflects high confidence in this range from official forecasts, while elevated probability on 49°F or below captures residual uncertainty from microclimate variations, potential fog persistence, or slight model spreads in overnight minimums. Breezy conditions (10–20 mph) and low precipitation risk further stabilize the outlook ahead of the next model update cycle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em São Francisco em 29 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em São Francisco em 29 de agosto?
49°F ou menos 49%
50-51°F 47%
56-57°F 44%
58-59°F 32%
NOVO
NOVO
29 ago 2026
49°F ou menos
49%
50-51°F
47%
52-53°F
24%
54-55°F
24%
56-57°F
44%
58-59°F
32%
60-61°F
24%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
17%
68°F ou mais
1%
49°F ou menos 49%
50-51°F 47%
56-57°F 44%
58-59°F 32%
NOVO
NOVO
29 ago 2026
49°F ou menos
$5 Vol.
49%
50-51°F
$5 Vol.
47%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
24%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
24%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
44%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
32%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
24%
62-63°F
$5 Vol.
2%
64-65°F
$5 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$5 Vol.
17%
68°F ou mais
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance indicate a typical late-August marine-influenced night for San Francisco on August 29, with the daily minimum expected in the mid-50s.** Onshore westerly flow, combined with a strengthening pressure gradient, supports partly cloudy to clear conditions after any morning marine layer, allowing radiational cooling under light winds. This aligns with climatological averages near 56°F and recent model consensus showing lows of 55–56°F at key stations such as San Francisco International Airport.
The market’s tight clustering around 56–59°F reflects high confidence in this range from official forecasts, while elevated probability on 49°F or below captures residual uncertainty from microclimate variations, potential fog persistence, or slight model spreads in overnight minimums. Breezy conditions (10–20 mph) and low precipitation risk further stabilize the outlook ahead of the next model update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$30Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance indicate a typical late-August marine-influenced night for San Francisco on August 29, with the daily minimum expected in the mid-50s.** Onshore westerly flow, combined with a strengthening pressure gradient, supports partly cloudy to clear conditions after any morning marine layer, allowing radiational cooling under light winds. This aligns with climatological averages near 56°F and recent model consensus showing lows of 55–56°F at key stations such as San Francisco International Airport.
The market’s tight clustering around 56–59°F reflects high confidence in this range from official forecasts, while elevated probability on 49°F or below captures residual uncertainty from microclimate variations, potential fog persistence, or slight model spreads in overnight minimums. Breezy conditions (10–20 mph) and low precipitation risk further stabilize the outlook ahead of the next model update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance indicate a typical late-August marine-influenced night for San Francisco on August 29, with the daily minimum expected in the mid-50s.** Onshore westerly flow, combined with a strengthening pressure gradient, supports partly cloudy to clear conditions after any morning marine layer, allowing radiational cooling under light winds. This aligns with climatological averages near 56°F and recent model consensus showing lows of 55–56°F at key stations such as San Francisco International Airport. The market’s tight clustering around 56–59°F reflects high confidence in this range from official forecasts, while elevated probability on 49°F or below captures residual uncertainty from microclimate variations, potential fog persistence, or slight model spreads in overnight minimums. Breezy conditions (10–20 mph) and low precipitation risk further stabilize the outlook ahead of the next model update cycle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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