Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global centers, show Shanghai's August 27 maximum temperature centered near 32°C amid typical late-summer conditions driven by the western Pacific subtropical high. This produces high humidity, moderate northeast winds, and scattered cloud cover that limits peak solar heating while allowing brief clearing. The tight split between 31°C and 32°C market-implied odds reflects small ensemble differences in boundary-layer mixing, moisture advection, and the timing of any light showers that could suppress the daily high by 1°C. Climatological August averages near 31–32°C provide context, with current guidance showing limited upward bias toward 33°C or higher. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Xangai em 27 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Xangai em 27 de agosto?
32°C 43%
31°C 39%
33°C 10%
30°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
27 ago 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
39%
32°C
43%
33°C
10%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 43%
31°C 39%
33°C 10%
30°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
27 ago 2026
26°C or below
$355 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$414 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$378 Vol.
1%
29°C
$917 Vol.
3%
30°C
$835 Vol.
5%
31°C
$1,040 Vol.
39%
32°C
$1,090 Vol.
43%
33°C
$427 Vol.
10%
34°C
$202 Vol.
4%
35°C
$18 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$360 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global centers, show Shanghai's August 27 maximum temperature centered near 32°C amid typical late-summer conditions driven by the western Pacific subtropical high. This produces high humidity, moderate northeast winds, and scattered cloud cover that limits peak solar heating while allowing brief clearing. The tight split between 31°C and 32°C market-implied odds reflects small ensemble differences in boundary-layer mixing, moisture advection, and the timing of any light showers that could suppress the daily high by 1°C. Climatological August averages near 31–32°C provide context, with current guidance showing limited upward bias toward 33°C or higher. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,035Data de Término
27 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global centers, show Shanghai's August 27 maximum temperature centered near 32°C amid typical late-summer conditions driven by the western Pacific subtropical high. This produces high humidity, moderate northeast winds, and scattered cloud cover that limits peak solar heating while allowing brief clearing. The tight split between 31°C and 32°C market-implied odds reflects small ensemble differences in boundary-layer mixing, moisture advection, and the timing of any light showers that could suppress the daily high by 1°C. Climatological August averages near 31–32°C provide context, with current guidance showing limited upward bias toward 33°C or higher. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,035Data de Término
27 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those from global centers, show Shanghai's August 27 maximum temperature centered near 32°C amid typical late-summer conditions driven by the western Pacific subtropical high. This produces high humidity, moderate northeast winds, and scattered cloud cover that limits peak solar heating while allowing brief clearing. The tight split between 31°C and 32°C market-implied odds reflects small ensemble differences in boundary-layer mixing, moisture advection, and the timing of any light showers that could suppress the daily high by 1°C. Climatological August averages near 31–32°C provide context, with current guidance showing limited upward bias toward 33°C or higher. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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