Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration positions 27°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s August 26 overnight low, with 26°C close behind, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions of high humidity and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Persistent warm air advection and urban heat island effects in the Yangtze River Delta suppress sharper drops, while recent model runs show no strong frontal passages or typhoon influences that could enhance cooling. Historical August climatology places average lows near 25–27°C, supporting the tight clustering of implied probabilities around these thresholds. Updated guidance on cloud cover and wind patterns over the next 24 hours remains the key variable that could shift resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 26 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 26 de agosto?
27°C 57%
26°C 34%
28°C 6%
25°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
26 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
34%
27°C
57%
28°C
6%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 57%
26°C 34%
28°C 6%
25°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
26 ago 2026
22°C or below
$232 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$190 Vol.
2%
25°C
$76 Vol.
5%
26°C
$439 Vol.
34%
27°C
$277 Vol.
57%
28°C
$50 Vol.
6%
29°C
$82 Vol.
1%
30°C
$104 Vol.
1%
31°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$220 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration positions 27°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s August 26 overnight low, with 26°C close behind, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions of high humidity and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Persistent warm air advection and urban heat island effects in the Yangtze River Delta suppress sharper drops, while recent model runs show no strong frontal passages or typhoon influences that could enhance cooling. Historical August climatology places average lows near 25–27°C, supporting the tight clustering of implied probabilities around these thresholds. Updated guidance on cloud cover and wind patterns over the next 24 hours remains the key variable that could shift resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,810Data de Término
26 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration positions 27°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s August 26 overnight low, with 26°C close behind, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions of high humidity and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Persistent warm air advection and urban heat island effects in the Yangtze River Delta suppress sharper drops, while recent model runs show no strong frontal passages or typhoon influences that could enhance cooling. Historical August climatology places average lows near 25–27°C, supporting the tight clustering of implied probabilities around these thresholds. Updated guidance on cloud cover and wind patterns over the next 24 hours remains the key variable that could shift resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,810Data de Término
26 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration positions 27°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s August 26 overnight low, with 26°C close behind, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions of high humidity and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Persistent warm air advection and urban heat island effects in the Yangtze River Delta suppress sharper drops, while recent model runs show no strong frontal passages or typhoon influences that could enhance cooling. Historical August climatology places average lows near 25–27°C, supporting the tight clustering of implied probabilities around these thresholds. Updated guidance on cloud cover and wind patterns over the next 24 hours remains the key variable that could shift resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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