Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 25 will most likely settle near 26–27°C, reflecting the market's tight 37–44% split on those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and a warm, moist maritime air mass from the East China Sea are suppressing nocturnal cooling, while high humidity (often 80–90%) limits radiative heat loss. Historical climatology for late August shows average lows of 25–26°C, with current guidance showing little deviation absent a frontal passage or typhoon influence. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities as the event nears.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Xangai no dia 25 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Xangai no dia 25 de agosto?
27°C 45%
26°C 40%
28°C 17%
24°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
25 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
8%
25°C
6%
26°C
40%
27°C
45%
28°C
17%
29°C
8%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 45%
26°C 40%
28°C 17%
24°C 8%
NOVO
NOVO
25 ago 2026
22°C or below
$60 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$10 Vol.
1%
24°C
$10 Vol.
8%
25°C
$69 Vol.
6%
26°C
$728 Vol.
40%
27°C
$345 Vol.
45%
28°C
$246 Vol.
17%
29°C
$10 Vol.
8%
30°C
$69 Vol.
1%
31°C
$55 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$55 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 25 will most likely settle near 26–27°C, reflecting the market's tight 37–44% split on those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and a warm, moist maritime air mass from the East China Sea are suppressing nocturnal cooling, while high humidity (often 80–90%) limits radiative heat loss. Historical climatology for late August shows average lows of 25–26°C, with current guidance showing little deviation absent a frontal passage or typhoon influence. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,659Data de Término
25 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 25 will most likely settle near 26–27°C, reflecting the market's tight 37–44% split on those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and a warm, moist maritime air mass from the East China Sea are suppressing nocturnal cooling, while high humidity (often 80–90%) limits radiative heat loss. Historical climatology for late August shows average lows of 25–26°C, with current guidance showing little deviation absent a frontal passage or typhoon influence. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,659Data de Término
25 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 25 will most likely settle near 26–27°C, reflecting the market's tight 37–44% split on those outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure and a warm, moist maritime air mass from the East China Sea are suppressing nocturnal cooling, while high humidity (often 80–90%) limits radiative heat loss. Historical climatology for late August shows average lows of 25–26°C, with current guidance showing little deviation absent a frontal passage or typhoon influence. Updated model runs and official briefings from the China Meteorological Administration over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities as the event nears.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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