**Forecast models from sources including Worldmeteo, Met Office, and Chinese meteorological services project Shanghai’s overnight low on August 27 near 26–28°C.** Recent runs show highs of 32–33°C under partly cloudy to light-rain conditions, with northeast winds of 8–15 mph and elevated humidity (70–85%) limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. This keeps the minimum clustered around the 27–28°C range that dominates market-implied odds (28°C at 41.5%, 27°C at 35.5%). Small differences in cloud cover, precipitation timing, or model bias on boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between these outcomes, consistent with typical late-summer subtropical variability. No major synoptic shift is expected before resolution, though updated CMA or ECMWF guidance over the next 48 hours could refine the exact threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 27 de agosto?
28°C 47%
27°C 38%
26°C 17%
29°C 11%
23°C or below
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
10%
26°C
17%
27°C
38%
28°C
47%
29°C
11%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 47%
27°C 38%
26°C 17%
29°C 11%
23°C or below
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
10%
26°C
17%
27°C
38%
28°C
47%
29°C
11%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including Worldmeteo, Met Office, and Chinese meteorological services project Shanghai’s overnight low on August 27 near 26–28°C.** Recent runs show highs of 32–33°C under partly cloudy to light-rain conditions, with northeast winds of 8–15 mph and elevated humidity (70–85%) limiting nocturnal radiative cooling. This keeps the minimum clustered around the 27–28°C range that dominates market-implied odds (28°C at 41.5%, 27°C at 35.5%). Small differences in cloud cover, precipitation timing, or model bias on boundary-layer mixing create the narrow spread between these outcomes, consistent with typical late-summer subtropical variability. No major synoptic shift is expected before resolution, though updated CMA or ECMWF guidance over the next 48 hours could refine the exact threshold.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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