**Forecast models converge on overnight lows of 26–28°C for Guangzhou on August 29, aligning with the market's tightly clustered leading outcomes around 25–28°C.** Subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity near 70–90%, and scattered showers limit radiative cooling overnight, while light variable winds and partly cloudy skies allow modest drops to the mid-20s Celsius in urban areas before sunrise. Recent heavy rainfall has kept ground moisture elevated, muting temperature swings compared to drier periods, and no strong frontal systems or typhoon influences are expected. Historical August minima average near 24–26°C, but current ensemble guidance from sources like GFS and ECMWF favors slightly warmer readings due to residual heat and cloud cover. Traders price in this narrow range because small shifts in timing or intensity of any evening convection could nudge the daily minimum by 1–2°C, with lower-probability tails reflecting outlier model runs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Guangzhou em 29 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Guangzhou em 29 de agosto?
22°C 48%
23°C 48%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
NOVO
NOVO
29 ago 2026
21°C or below
5%
22°C
48%
23°C
48%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
25%
30°C
23%
31°C or higher
2%
22°C 48%
23°C 48%
26°C 27%
27°C 27%
NOVO
NOVO
29 ago 2026
21°C or below
$265 Vol.
5%
22°C
$5 Vol.
48%
23°C
$5 Vol.
48%
24°C
$26 Vol.
25%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$6 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
25%
30°C
$5 Vol.
23%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models converge on overnight lows of 26–28°C for Guangzhou on August 29, aligning with the market's tightly clustered leading outcomes around 25–28°C.** Subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity near 70–90%, and scattered showers limit radiative cooling overnight, while light variable winds and partly cloudy skies allow modest drops to the mid-20s Celsius in urban areas before sunrise. Recent heavy rainfall has kept ground moisture elevated, muting temperature swings compared to drier periods, and no strong frontal systems or typhoon influences are expected. Historical August minima average near 24–26°C, but current ensemble guidance from sources like GFS and ECMWF favors slightly warmer readings due to residual heat and cloud cover. Traders price in this narrow range because small shifts in timing or intensity of any evening convection could nudge the daily minimum by 1–2°C, with lower-probability tails reflecting outlier model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$317Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models converge on overnight lows of 26–28°C for Guangzhou on August 29, aligning with the market's tightly clustered leading outcomes around 25–28°C.** Subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity near 70–90%, and scattered showers limit radiative cooling overnight, while light variable winds and partly cloudy skies allow modest drops to the mid-20s Celsius in urban areas before sunrise. Recent heavy rainfall has kept ground moisture elevated, muting temperature swings compared to drier periods, and no strong frontal systems or typhoon influences are expected. Historical August minima average near 24–26°C, but current ensemble guidance from sources like GFS and ECMWF favors slightly warmer readings due to residual heat and cloud cover. Traders price in this narrow range because small shifts in timing or intensity of any evening convection could nudge the daily minimum by 1–2°C, with lower-probability tails reflecting outlier model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$317Data de Término
29 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models converge on overnight lows of 26–28°C for Guangzhou on August 29, aligning with the market's tightly clustered leading outcomes around 25–28°C.** Subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity near 70–90%, and scattered showers limit radiative cooling overnight, while light variable winds and partly cloudy skies allow modest drops to the mid-20s Celsius in urban areas before sunrise. Recent heavy rainfall has kept ground moisture elevated, muting temperature swings compared to drier periods, and no strong frontal systems or typhoon influences are expected. Historical August minima average near 24–26°C, but current ensemble guidance from sources like GFS and ECMWF favors slightly warmer readings due to residual heat and cloud cover. Traders price in this narrow range because small shifts in timing or intensity of any evening convection could nudge the daily minimum by 1–2°C, with lower-probability tails reflecting outlier model runs.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions