Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 27 project a high near 102°F under partly cloudy skies, with a 30-40% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 100-101°F and 102-103°F bins, reflecting model consensus that a lingering heat ridge will sustain hot conditions while increasing moisture and instability slightly caps peak readings below recent 103-104°F observations. Afternoon convection and cloud cover represent the main variables that could shift the outcome toward 98-99°F. Official guidance notes heat index values potentially reaching 106-108°F, consistent with the market-implied distribution favoring the low 100s over higher extremes or cooler outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Austin em 27 de agosto?
100-101°F 43%
102-103°F 26%
98-99°F 15%
96-97°F 9%
95°F ou menos
1%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
15%
100-101°F
43%
102-103°F
26%
104-105°F
7%
106-107°F
5%
108-109°F
3%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F ou mais
<1%
100-101°F 43%
102-103°F 26%
98-99°F 15%
96-97°F 9%
95°F ou menos
1%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
15%
100-101°F
43%
102-103°F
26%
104-105°F
7%
106-107°F
5%
108-109°F
3%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for Austin on August 27 project a high near 102°F under partly cloudy skies, with a 30-40% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 100-101°F and 102-103°F bins, reflecting model consensus that a lingering heat ridge will sustain hot conditions while increasing moisture and instability slightly caps peak readings below recent 103-104°F observations. Afternoon convection and cloud cover represent the main variables that could shift the outcome toward 98-99°F. Official guidance notes heat index values potentially reaching 106-108°F, consistent with the market-implied distribution favoring the low 100s over higher extremes or cooler outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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