Recent forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a daytime maximum of 26–28°C for Mexico City on August 27 amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and a 30–50% chance of showers or thunderstorms tied to tropical waves and low-pressure systems. Cloud cover and precipitation limit solar heating, supporting the market's tight clustering around 24–25°C implied probabilities. Elevated humidity from the rainy season further moderates peaks relative to clearer climatological averages near 23°C. Traders appear to weigh official guidance against model variability in steering patterns and convective timing, with the next CONAGUA updates and morning observations likely to refine the range before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 27 de agosto?
24°C 37%
25°C 29%
26°C 20%
23°C 16%
18°C ou menos
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
16%
24°C
37%
25°C
29%
26°C
20%
27°C
6%
28°C ou mais
2%
24°C 37%
25°C 29%
26°C 20%
23°C 16%
18°C ou menos
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
16%
24°C
37%
25°C
29%
26°C
20%
27°C
6%
28°C ou mais
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 25, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a daytime maximum of 26–28°C for Mexico City on August 27 amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and a 30–50% chance of showers or thunderstorms tied to tropical waves and low-pressure systems. Cloud cover and precipitation limit solar heating, supporting the market's tight clustering around 24–25°C implied probabilities. Elevated humidity from the rainy season further moderates peaks relative to clearer climatological averages near 23°C. Traders appear to weigh official guidance against model variability in steering patterns and convective timing, with the next CONAGUA updates and morning observations likely to refine the range before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions