Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services indicate a highest temperature of 20–23°C for Mexico City on August 25, consistent with the market's leading outcomes at 23°C (38.5%) and 22°C (25%). The city's 2,240-meter elevation and August rainy-season pattern—marked by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and afternoon convection—limit daytime heating despite seasonal solar input. Recent observations show cooler-than-average conditions from widespread precipitation on August 24, with model runs projecting similar stabilization into the 25th due to continued moisture and reduced insolation. These factors align with historical late-August maxima near 23–24°C, explaining trader emphasis on the narrow 22–24°C range while assigning low probability to extremes above 25°C or below 21°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 25 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 25 de agosto?
23°C 39%
22°C 24%
24°C 22%
21°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
25 ago 2026
16°C ou menos
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
11%
22°C
24%
23°C
39%
24°C
22%
25°C
5%
26°C ou mais
5%
23°C 39%
22°C 24%
24°C 22%
21°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
25 ago 2026
16°C ou menos
$5 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$13 Vol.
2%
20°C
$47 Vol.
5%
21°C
$8 Vol.
11%
22°C
$362 Vol.
24%
23°C
$102 Vol.
39%
24°C
$6 Vol.
22%
25°C
$10 Vol.
5%
26°C ou mais
$19 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services indicate a highest temperature of 20–23°C for Mexico City on August 25, consistent with the market's leading outcomes at 23°C (38.5%) and 22°C (25%). The city's 2,240-meter elevation and August rainy-season pattern—marked by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and afternoon convection—limit daytime heating despite seasonal solar input. Recent observations show cooler-than-average conditions from widespread precipitation on August 24, with model runs projecting similar stabilization into the 25th due to continued moisture and reduced insolation. These factors align with historical late-August maxima near 23–24°C, explaining trader emphasis on the narrow 22–24°C range while assigning low probability to extremes above 25°C or below 21°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$583Data de Término
25 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services indicate a highest temperature of 20–23°C for Mexico City on August 25, consistent with the market's leading outcomes at 23°C (38.5%) and 22°C (25%). The city's 2,240-meter elevation and August rainy-season pattern—marked by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and afternoon convection—limit daytime heating despite seasonal solar input. Recent observations show cooler-than-average conditions from widespread precipitation on August 24, with model runs projecting similar stabilization into the 25th due to continued moisture and reduced insolation. These factors align with historical late-August maxima near 23–24°C, explaining trader emphasis on the narrow 22–24°C range while assigning low probability to extremes above 25°C or below 21°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$583Data de Término
25 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services indicate a highest temperature of 20–23°C for Mexico City on August 25, consistent with the market's leading outcomes at 23°C (38.5%) and 22°C (25%). The city's 2,240-meter elevation and August rainy-season pattern—marked by persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and afternoon convection—limit daytime heating despite seasonal solar input. Recent observations show cooler-than-average conditions from widespread precipitation on August 24, with model runs projecting similar stabilization into the 25th due to continued moisture and reduced insolation. These factors align with historical late-August maxima near 23–24°C, explaining trader emphasis on the narrow 22–24°C range while assigning low probability to extremes above 25°C or below 21°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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