Forecast models from agencies tracking European conditions, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate an overnight minimum near 16°C for Amsterdam on August 27, driven by moderating southeast to southwest flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling while maintaining dew points around 17-19°C. Current observations from Schiphol show daytime highs near 26-27°C with humidity rising above 60%, consistent with late-summer patterns where the typical historical low for the date sits near 13°C but recent warmth has kept readings elevated. Market-implied odds heavily favor 16°C as the leading outcome, reflecting consensus across updated model ensembles rather than outlier cooler scenarios below 14°C. Fresh guidance through the evening will refine whether any brief clearing allows a dip closer to 15°C before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Amesterdão a 27 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Amesterdão a 27 de agosto?
16°C 100.0%
13°C or below 7%
15°C 4%
14°C <1%
$2,310 Vol.
$2,310 Vol.
27 ago 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
13°C or below 7%
15°C 4%
14°C <1%
$2,310 Vol.
$2,310 Vol.
27 ago 2026
13°C or below
$13 Vol.
No
14°C
$97 Vol.
No
15°C
$94 Vol.
No
16°C
$851 Vol.
Yes
17°C
$613 Vol.
No
18°C
$65 Vol.
No
19°C
$130 Vol.
No
20°C
$40 Vol.
No
21°C
$290 Vol.
No
22°C
$76 Vol.
No
23°C or higher
$40 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies tracking European conditions, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate an overnight minimum near 16°C for Amsterdam on August 27, driven by moderating southeast to southwest flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling while maintaining dew points around 17-19°C. Current observations from Schiphol show daytime highs near 26-27°C with humidity rising above 60%, consistent with late-summer patterns where the typical historical low for the date sits near 13°C but recent warmth has kept readings elevated. Market-implied odds heavily favor 16°C as the leading outcome, reflecting consensus across updated model ensembles rather than outlier cooler scenarios below 14°C. Fresh guidance through the evening will refine whether any brief clearing allows a dip closer to 15°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$2,310Data de Término
27 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies tracking European conditions, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate an overnight minimum near 16°C for Amsterdam on August 27, driven by moderating southeast to southwest flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling while maintaining dew points around 17-19°C. Current observations from Schiphol show daytime highs near 26-27°C with humidity rising above 60%, consistent with late-summer patterns where the typical historical low for the date sits near 13°C but recent warmth has kept readings elevated. Market-implied odds heavily favor 16°C as the leading outcome, reflecting consensus across updated model ensembles rather than outlier cooler scenarios below 14°C. Fresh guidance through the evening will refine whether any brief clearing allows a dip closer to 15°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,310Data de Término
27 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Forecast models from agencies tracking European conditions, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate an overnight minimum near 16°C for Amsterdam on August 27, driven by moderating southeast to southwest flow, increasing cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling while maintaining dew points around 17-19°C. Current observations from Schiphol show daytime highs near 26-27°C with humidity rising above 60%, consistent with late-summer patterns where the typical historical low for the date sits near 13°C but recent warmth has kept readings elevated. Market-implied odds heavily favor 16°C as the leading outcome, reflecting consensus across updated model ensembles rather than outlier cooler scenarios below 14°C. Fresh guidance through the evening will refine whether any brief clearing allows a dip closer to 15°C before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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