Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam on August 28 will likely settle in the 16–18°C range under persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate southwesterly winds associated with a passing low-pressure system. These conditions limit radiational cooling while maintaining elevated dew points near 17–19°C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–17°C. Thunderstorm activity through the night may further moderate temperature drops compared with clearer historical analogs for late August. Updated model runs and official guidance from agencies like KNMI will refine the exact minimum ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Amesterdão a 28 de agosto?
19°C 82%
15°C 43%
14°C 39%
17°C 39%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
8%
14°C
39%
15°C
43%
16°C
31%
17°C
39%
18°C
28%
19°C
82%
20°C
13%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
1%
19°C 82%
15°C 43%
14°C 39%
17°C 39%
12°C or below
1%
13°C
8%
14°C
39%
15°C
43%
16°C
31%
17°C
39%
18°C
28%
19°C
82%
20°C
13%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Amsterdam on August 28 will likely settle in the 16–18°C range under persistent cloud cover, light rain, and moderate southwesterly winds associated with a passing low-pressure system. These conditions limit radiational cooling while maintaining elevated dew points near 17–19°C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 15–17°C. Thunderstorm activity through the night may further moderate temperature drops compared with clearer historical analogs for late August. Updated model runs and official guidance from agencies like KNMI will refine the exact minimum ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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