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icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 27 de agosto?

Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 27 de agosto?

icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 27 de agosto?

Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 27 de agosto?

ago 26

ago 27

ago 28

ago 26

ago 27

ago 28

27°C 45%

26°C 28%

28°C 16%

25°C 10%

Polymarket
NOVO

27°C 45%

26°C 28%

28°C 16%

25°C 10%

Polymarket
NOVO

22°C or below

$15 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$320 Vol.

4%

24°C

$127 Vol.

3%

25°C

$127 Vol.

10%

26°C

$162 Vol.

28%

27°C

$188 Vol.

45%

28°C

$186 Vol.

16%

29°C

$45 Vol.

2%

30°C

$15 Vol.

<1%

31°C

$50 Vol.

<1%

32°C or higher

$180 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory position 27°C as the most likely minimum temperature for August 27, 2026.** The agency’s 9-day outlook, issued August 26, projects a daily range of 27–31°C under an active southerly airstream that will deliver mainly cloudy skies, occasional showers, and squally thunderstorms, with heavier rain possible early in the day. High relative humidity (75–95%) and persistent cloud cover will limit overnight radiative cooling, supporting this minimum. Supporting model consensus and nearby observations align closely: multiple private forecasts show overnight lows of 27–28°C amid similar tropical moisture and light-to-moderate southwest winds. Late-August climatology for Hong Kong typically features minima near 25°C, but the current pattern of enhanced southerly flow and regional tropical cyclone activity (including distant effects from Saudel) has maintained warmer baseline temperatures and higher humidity, reducing the chance of a dip to 25°C or below. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this evidence, with the 27°C outcome leading at 44.5% and the 26–28°C band collectively exceeding 85%. Minor uncertainty remains around localized variations or last-minute forecast adjustments from the Hong Kong Observatory, but the stable synoptic setup and lack of rapid changes in the past 24–48 hours keep the distribution tightly centered on these values.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,414
Data de Término
27 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory position 27°C as the most likely minimum temperature for August 27, 2026.** The agency’s 9-day outlook, issued August 26, projects a daily range of 27–31°C under an active southerly airstream that will deliver mainly cloudy skies, occasional showers, and squally thunderstorms, with heavier rain possible early in the day. High relative humidity (75–95%) and persistent cloud cover will limit overnight radiative cooling, supporting this minimum. Supporting model consensus and nearby observations align closely: multiple private forecasts show overnight lows of 27–28°C amid similar tropical moisture and light-to-moderate southwest winds. Late-August climatology for Hong Kong typically features minima near 25°C, but the current pattern of enhanced southerly flow and regional tropical cyclone activity (including distant effects from Saudel) has maintained warmer baseline temperatures and higher humidity, reducing the chance of a dip to 25°C or below. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this evidence, with the 27°C outcome leading at 44.5% and the 26–28°C band collectively exceeding 85%. Minor uncertainty remains around localized variations or last-minute forecast adjustments from the Hong Kong Observatory, but the stable synoptic setup and lack of rapid changes in the past 24–48 hours keep the distribution tightly centered on these values.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,414
Data de Término
27 ago 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 27 de agosto?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "27°C" at 45%, followed by "26°C" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 27 de agosto?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 25, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 27 de agosto?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 27 de agosto?" is "27°C" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "26°C" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais baixa em Hong Kong em 27 de agosto?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.