Recent heavy rainfall across Chongqing on August 28–29, accompanied by persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity, has emerged as the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a relatively warm overnight minimum near or above 23–24 °C. Official forecasts from regional meteorological services indicate the daily low on August 30 will likely settle between 22–25 °C as moisture from the recent system moderates radiative cooling, consistent with climatological August norms of 25–27 °C. Trader positioning on extremes (29 °C or higher at 44.5 % or 19 °C or below at 30.0 %) reflects model uncertainty around steering patterns and residual moisture, with resolution hinging on the precise official station reading at the close of the 24-hour period.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Chongqing em 30 de agosto?
29°C or higher 91%
19°C or below 60%
20°C 50%
25°C 50%
19°C or below
60%
20°C
50%
21°C
26%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
26%
25°C
50%
26°C
8%
27°C
50%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
91%
29°C or higher 91%
19°C or below 60%
20°C 50%
25°C 50%
19°C or below
60%
20°C
50%
21°C
26%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
26%
25°C
50%
26°C
8%
27°C
50%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
91%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heavy rainfall across Chongqing on August 28–29, accompanied by persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity, has emerged as the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring a relatively warm overnight minimum near or above 23–24 °C. Official forecasts from regional meteorological services indicate the daily low on August 30 will likely settle between 22–25 °C as moisture from the recent system moderates radiative cooling, consistent with climatological August norms of 25–27 °C. Trader positioning on extremes (29 °C or higher at 44.5 % or 19 °C or below at 30.0 %) reflects model uncertainty around steering patterns and residual moisture, with resolution hinging on the precise official station reading at the close of the 24-hour period.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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