Latest National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance position a high of 83–85°F as the most probable outcome for New York City on August 30, consistent with market-implied odds favoring the 82–85°F bins. A building southwest flow ahead of an approaching trough will support partly sunny conditions with modest instability, while afternoon shower chances of 30–40% introduce minor cooling potential. These values sit near or slightly above late-August normals, reflecting the absence of strong high pressure or anomalous warmth. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the key data points for any late shifts in trader positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Nova York em 30 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 30 de agosto?
82-83°F 38%
84-85°F 26%
80-81°F 21%
78-79°F 9%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
38%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 38%
84-85°F 26%
80-81°F 21%
78-79°F 9%
NOVO
NOVO
30 ago 2026
73°F or below
$236 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$374 Vol.
2%
76-77°F
$46 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$231 Vol.
9%
80-81°F
$670 Vol.
21%
82-83°F
$493 Vol.
38%
84-85°F
$486 Vol.
26%
86-87°F
$629 Vol.
5%
88-89°F
$27 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$138 Vol.
1%
92°F or higher
$120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance position a high of 83–85°F as the most probable outcome for New York City on August 30, consistent with market-implied odds favoring the 82–85°F bins. A building southwest flow ahead of an approaching trough will support partly sunny conditions with modest instability, while afternoon shower chances of 30–40% introduce minor cooling potential. These values sit near or slightly above late-August normals, reflecting the absence of strong high pressure or anomalous warmth. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the key data points for any late shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,449Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance position a high of 83–85°F as the most probable outcome for New York City on August 30, consistent with market-implied odds favoring the 82–85°F bins. A building southwest flow ahead of an approaching trough will support partly sunny conditions with modest instability, while afternoon shower chances of 30–40% introduce minor cooling potential. These values sit near or slightly above late-August normals, reflecting the absence of strong high pressure or anomalous warmth. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the key data points for any late shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,449Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance position a high of 83–85°F as the most probable outcome for New York City on August 30, consistent with market-implied odds favoring the 82–85°F bins. A building southwest flow ahead of an approaching trough will support partly sunny conditions with modest instability, while afternoon shower chances of 30–40% introduce minor cooling potential. These values sit near or slightly above late-August normals, reflecting the absence of strong high pressure or anomalous warmth. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will provide the key data points for any late shifts in trader positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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