Current forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, show Milan under a weakening African anticyclone with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and strong daytime insolation on August 31. This setup favors peak temperatures near 31–32°C (roughly 88–90°F), consistent with the market’s tight 30–31°C outcomes at 35% and 34.5% implied probability. Differentiation between these hinges on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud cover that could trim insolation by 1–2°C, or slight shifts in the 0–2 m/s wind field; historical climatology places late-August maxima around 27–29°C, so the current warm anomaly reflects persistent subtropical air rather than extreme heat-dome conditions seen farther south. Updated model guidance and any late changes in cloud or wind forecasts will be the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 31 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 31 de agosto?
31°C 37%
30°C 36%
32°C 11%
29°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
10%
30°C
36%
31°C
37%
32°C
12%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
4%
31°C 37%
30°C 36%
32°C 11%
29°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
24°C or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
9%
29°C
$9 Vol.
10%
30°C
$14 Vol.
36%
31°C
$77 Vol.
37%
32°C
$18 Vol.
12%
33°C
$0 Vol.
6%
34°C or higher
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, show Milan under a weakening African anticyclone with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and strong daytime insolation on August 31. This setup favors peak temperatures near 31–32°C (roughly 88–90°F), consistent with the market’s tight 30–31°C outcomes at 35% and 34.5% implied probability. Differentiation between these hinges on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud cover that could trim insolation by 1–2°C, or slight shifts in the 0–2 m/s wind field; historical climatology places late-August maxima around 27–29°C, so the current warm anomaly reflects persistent subtropical air rather than extreme heat-dome conditions seen farther south. Updated model guidance and any late changes in cloud or wind forecasts will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$128Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, show Milan under a weakening African anticyclone with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and strong daytime insolation on August 31. This setup favors peak temperatures near 31–32°C (roughly 88–90°F), consistent with the market’s tight 30–31°C outcomes at 35% and 34.5% implied probability. Differentiation between these hinges on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud cover that could trim insolation by 1–2°C, or slight shifts in the 0–2 m/s wind field; historical climatology places late-August maxima around 27–29°C, so the current warm anomaly reflects persistent subtropical air rather than extreme heat-dome conditions seen farther south. Updated model guidance and any late changes in cloud or wind forecasts will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$128Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, show Milan under a weakening African anticyclone with mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and strong daytime insolation on August 31. This setup favors peak temperatures near 31–32°C (roughly 88–90°F), consistent with the market’s tight 30–31°C outcomes at 35% and 34.5% implied probability. Differentiation between these hinges on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud cover that could trim insolation by 1–2°C, or slight shifts in the 0–2 m/s wind field; historical climatology places late-August maxima around 27–29°C, so the current warm anomaly reflects persistent subtropical air rather than extreme heat-dome conditions seen farther south. Updated model guidance and any late changes in cloud or wind forecasts will be the key near-term catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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