Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and Yr.no points to a minimum temperature of 12–13°C in São Paulo on September 2, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, moderate southerly to southeasterly winds, and radiational cooling under high pressure. This aligns with the market's near-even split between those two outcomes, as ensemble spreads remain narrow but allow for minor variations based on exact cloud cover or wind shifts. Historical September minima average near 12°C, providing context for the tight clustering around these values rather than warmer or colder extremes. Traders are monitoring the final official reading from the primary INMET station, with any last model updates before midnight local time likely to refine positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em São Paulo no dia 2 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em São Paulo no dia 2 de setembro?
19°C ou mais 87%
9°C ou menos 86%
10°C 82%
15°C 81%
NOVO
NOVO
2 set 2026
9°C ou menos
86%
10°C
82%
11°C
80%
12°C
52%
13°C
49%
14°C
78%
15°C
81%
16°C
77%
17°C
2%
18°C
72%
19°C ou mais
87%
19°C ou mais 87%
9°C ou menos 86%
10°C 82%
15°C 81%
NOVO
NOVO
2 set 2026
9°C ou menos
$15 Vol.
86%
10°C
$0 Vol.
82%
11°C
$0 Vol.
80%
12°C
$0 Vol.
52%
13°C
$0 Vol.
49%
14°C
$0 Vol.
78%
15°C
$0 Vol.
81%
16°C
$15 Vol.
77%
17°C
$5 Vol.
2%
18°C
$5 Vol.
72%
19°C ou mais
$5 Vol.
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and Yr.no points to a minimum temperature of 12–13°C in São Paulo on September 2, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, moderate southerly to southeasterly winds, and radiational cooling under high pressure. This aligns with the market's near-even split between those two outcomes, as ensemble spreads remain narrow but allow for minor variations based on exact cloud cover or wind shifts. Historical September minima average near 12°C, providing context for the tight clustering around these values rather than warmer or colder extremes. Traders are monitoring the final official reading from the primary INMET station, with any last model updates before midnight local time likely to refine positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
Volume
$45Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 8:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and Yr.no points to a minimum temperature of 12–13°C in São Paulo on September 2, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, moderate southerly to southeasterly winds, and radiational cooling under high pressure. This aligns with the market's near-even split between those two outcomes, as ensemble spreads remain narrow but allow for minor variations based on exact cloud cover or wind shifts. Historical September minima average near 12°C, providing context for the tight clustering around these values rather than warmer or colder extremes. Traders are monitoring the final official reading from the primary INMET station, with any last model updates before midnight local time likely to refine positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 8:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources including the Met Office and Yr.no points to a minimum temperature of 12–13°C in São Paulo on September 2, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, moderate southerly to southeasterly winds, and radiational cooling under high pressure. This aligns with the market's near-even split between those two outcomes, as ensemble spreads remain narrow but allow for minor variations based on exact cloud cover or wind shifts. Historical September minima average near 12°C, providing context for the tight clustering around these values rather than warmer or colder extremes. Traders are monitoring the final official reading from the primary INMET station, with any last model updates before midnight local time likely to refine positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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