Current forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and regional ensembles indicate a daily high near 31°C for Karachi on September 3, driven by typical early-September atmospheric conditions with moderate southwest monsoon flow, partial cloud cover, and sea-breeze moderation from the Arabian Sea. This consensus aligns with climatological norms of 27–31°C and explains the market's strong preference for 31°C (52%) over 32°C (23.5%) or 30°C (17.5%). Light rain chances and stable pressure gradients limit upside risk to higher temperatures, while recent observations show no anomalous warming or cooling trends shifting the distribution. Updated model runs tomorrow will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Karachi no dia 3 de setembro?
31°C 53%
32°C 24%
30°C 17%
33°C 6%
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
17%
31°C
53%
32°C
24%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou mais
<1%
31°C 53%
32°C 24%
30°C 17%
33°C 6%
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
17%
31°C
53%
32°C
24%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and regional ensembles indicate a daily high near 31°C for Karachi on September 3, driven by typical early-September atmospheric conditions with moderate southwest monsoon flow, partial cloud cover, and sea-breeze moderation from the Arabian Sea. This consensus aligns with climatological norms of 27–31°C and explains the market's strong preference for 31°C (52%) over 32°C (23.5%) or 30°C (17.5%). Light rain chances and stable pressure gradients limit upside risk to higher temperatures, while recent observations show no anomalous warming or cooling trends shifting the distribution. Updated model runs tomorrow will refine the exact peak before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions