**Forecast models from MetService and global ensembles show northwesterly flow advecting milder air into Wellington on September 2, supporting a daytime maximum near 15–16 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies.** Strong winds (20–25 knots) will mix the boundary layer and limit further warming, while clear overnight conditions keep minimums in the low teens. Historical September averages hover around 13–14 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by the ridge and wind direction rather than anomalous heat. Ensemble spread remains modest but includes a tail toward 17 °C if mixing is stronger than expected or a slight downside to 14–15 °C if cloud increases earlier. The market’s heavy weighting toward 16 °C reflects this consensus range, with the next model runs and any late adjustments to the surface pressure gradient likely to refine the exact peak.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington no dia 2 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Wellington no dia 2 de setembro?
16°C 61%
17°C 22%
15°C 15%
18°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
2 set 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
15%
16°C
61%
17°C
22%
18°C
3%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 61%
17°C 22%
15°C 15%
18°C 3%
NOVO
NOVO
2 set 2026
10°C or below
$315 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$375 Vol.
1%
12°C
$407 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$524 Vol.
1%
14°C
$466 Vol.
2%
15°C
$4,383 Vol.
15%
16°C
$901 Vol.
61%
17°C
$1,164 Vol.
22%
18°C
$552 Vol.
3%
19°C
$449 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$222 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from MetService and global ensembles show northwesterly flow advecting milder air into Wellington on September 2, supporting a daytime maximum near 15–16 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies.** Strong winds (20–25 knots) will mix the boundary layer and limit further warming, while clear overnight conditions keep minimums in the low teens. Historical September averages hover around 13–14 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by the ridge and wind direction rather than anomalous heat. Ensemble spread remains modest but includes a tail toward 17 °C if mixing is stronger than expected or a slight downside to 14–15 °C if cloud increases earlier. The market’s heavy weighting toward 16 °C reflects this consensus range, with the next model runs and any late adjustments to the surface pressure gradient likely to refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$9,758Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from MetService and global ensembles show northwesterly flow advecting milder air into Wellington on September 2, supporting a daytime maximum near 15–16 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies.** Strong winds (20–25 knots) will mix the boundary layer and limit further warming, while clear overnight conditions keep minimums in the low teens. Historical September averages hover around 13–14 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by the ridge and wind direction rather than anomalous heat. Ensemble spread remains modest but includes a tail toward 17 °C if mixing is stronger than expected or a slight downside to 14–15 °C if cloud increases earlier. The market’s heavy weighting toward 16 °C reflects this consensus range, with the next model runs and any late adjustments to the surface pressure gradient likely to refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,758Data de Término
2 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from MetService and global ensembles show northwesterly flow advecting milder air into Wellington on September 2, supporting a daytime maximum near 15–16 °C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies.** Strong winds (20–25 knots) will mix the boundary layer and limit further warming, while clear overnight conditions keep minimums in the low teens. Historical September averages hover around 13–14 °C, so the current setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by the ridge and wind direction rather than anomalous heat. Ensemble spread remains modest but includes a tail toward 17 °C if mixing is stronger than expected or a slight downside to 14–15 °C if cloud increases earlier. The market’s heavy weighting toward 16 °C reflects this consensus range, with the next model runs and any late adjustments to the surface pressure gradient likely to refine the exact peak.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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