**Forecast models from sources including Yr.no and Worldmeteo indicate a stable overnight low near 13°C for Warsaw on September 3, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds around 2–4 m/s and dew points near 11–12°C.** This supports the market’s tight clustering around 11–14°C outcomes, where trader consensus reflects aggregated short-range ensemble guidance rather than any single model run. Key differentiators among these probabilities include minor variations in predicted cloud cover—thicker low-level clouds would limit radiative cooling and push the minimum toward 14°C—versus clearer intervals or slightly calmer conditions that could allow the temperature to dip to 11–12°C. With high pressure dominating and no incoming fronts through the 48-hour window, resolution hinges on the final model updates for boundary-layer mixing and exact minimum timing before sunrise. Historical September climatology (typical lows near 10–12°C) provides context but yields to current synoptic stability in driving the implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia a 3 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia a 3 de setembro?
19°C or higher 44%
9°C or below 40%
16°C 36%
12°C 30%
NOVO
NOVO
3 set 2026
9°C or below
40%
10°C
11%
11°C
23%
12°C
30%
13°C
28%
14°C
25%
15°C
25%
16°C
36%
17°C
17%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
44%
19°C or higher 44%
9°C or below 40%
16°C 36%
12°C 30%
NOVO
NOVO
3 set 2026
9°C or below
$0 Vol.
40%
10°C
$0 Vol.
11%
11°C
$0 Vol.
23%
12°C
$0 Vol.
30%
13°C
$0 Vol.
28%
14°C
$0 Vol.
25%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$5 Vol.
36%
17°C
$5 Vol.
17%
18°C
$5 Vol.
2%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including Yr.no and Worldmeteo indicate a stable overnight low near 13°C for Warsaw on September 3, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds around 2–4 m/s and dew points near 11–12°C.** This supports the market’s tight clustering around 11–14°C outcomes, where trader consensus reflects aggregated short-range ensemble guidance rather than any single model run. Key differentiators among these probabilities include minor variations in predicted cloud cover—thicker low-level clouds would limit radiative cooling and push the minimum toward 14°C—versus clearer intervals or slightly calmer conditions that could allow the temperature to dip to 11–12°C. With high pressure dominating and no incoming fronts through the 48-hour window, resolution hinges on the final model updates for boundary-layer mixing and exact minimum timing before sunrise. Historical September climatology (typical lows near 10–12°C) provides context but yields to current synoptic stability in driving the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$20Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including Yr.no and Worldmeteo indicate a stable overnight low near 13°C for Warsaw on September 3, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds around 2–4 m/s and dew points near 11–12°C.** This supports the market’s tight clustering around 11–14°C outcomes, where trader consensus reflects aggregated short-range ensemble guidance rather than any single model run. Key differentiators among these probabilities include minor variations in predicted cloud cover—thicker low-level clouds would limit radiative cooling and push the minimum toward 14°C—versus clearer intervals or slightly calmer conditions that could allow the temperature to dip to 11–12°C. With high pressure dominating and no incoming fronts through the 48-hour window, resolution hinges on the final model updates for boundary-layer mixing and exact minimum timing before sunrise. Historical September climatology (typical lows near 10–12°C) provides context but yields to current synoptic stability in driving the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including Yr.no and Worldmeteo indicate a stable overnight low near 13°C for Warsaw on September 3, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds around 2–4 m/s and dew points near 11–12°C.** This supports the market’s tight clustering around 11–14°C outcomes, where trader consensus reflects aggregated short-range ensemble guidance rather than any single model run. Key differentiators among these probabilities include minor variations in predicted cloud cover—thicker low-level clouds would limit radiative cooling and push the minimum toward 14°C—versus clearer intervals or slightly calmer conditions that could allow the temperature to dip to 11–12°C. With high pressure dominating and no incoming fronts through the 48-hour window, resolution hinges on the final model updates for boundary-layer mixing and exact minimum timing before sunrise. Historical September climatology (typical lows near 10–12°C) provides context but yields to current synoptic stability in driving the implied probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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