Skip to main content
icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia no dia 2 de setembro?

Temperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia no dia 2 de setembro?

icon for Temperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia no dia 2 de setembro?

Temperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia no dia 2 de setembro?

set 1

set 2

set 3

set 1

set 2

set 3

11°C 100%

12°C 100%

13°C 100%

14°C 100%

Polymarket
NOVO

11°C 100%

12°C 100%

13°C 100%

14°C 100%

Polymarket
NOVO

9°C or below

$5 Vol.

5%

10°C

$69 Vol.

81%

11°C

$0 Vol.

100%

12°C

$0 Vol.

100%

13°C

$0 Vol.

100%

14°C

$0 Vol.

100%

15°C

$0 Vol.

28%

16°C

$15 Vol.

100%

17°C

$20 Vol.

14%

18°C

$5 Vol.

100%

19°C or higher

$5 Vol.

100%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light westerly winds overnight are driving current market-implied odds toward an 11–13°C minimum in Warsaw on September 2, as high-pressure building favors strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 21–23°C. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows overnight lows clustered between 11–15°C, with the tight spread reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds that modulate heat loss from the surface. Historical September climatology for Warsaw places typical minima near 12°C, so traders are weighting the latest model consensus against potential slight warming if clouds increase or winds strengthen. Updated runs from national meteorological agencies will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$119
Data de Término
2 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light westerly winds overnight are driving current market-implied odds toward an 11–13°C minimum in Warsaw on September 2, as high-pressure building favors strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 21–23°C. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows overnight lows clustered between 11–15°C, with the tight spread reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds that modulate heat loss from the surface. Historical September climatology for Warsaw places typical minima near 12°C, so traders are weighting the latest model consensus against potential slight warming if clouds increase or winds strengthen. Updated runs from national meteorological agencies will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa

If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.

In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$119
Data de Término
2 set 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Relacionado

icon for Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 2?

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 2?

47%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on September 1?

Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on September 1?

50%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C or below on September 3?

Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C or below on September 3?

50%

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia no dia 2 de setembro?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "11°C" at 50%, followed by "12°C" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Temperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia no dia 2 de setembro?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Temperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia no dia 2 de setembro?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia no dia 2 de setembro?" is "11°C" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "12°C" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais baixa em Varsóvia no dia 2 de setembro?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.