Recent forecasts for Cape Town show daily minimum temperatures on September 3 clustering around 11–13°C amid a frontal system bringing showers and southeasterly winds, consistent with early-spring climatology influenced by the Benguela Current. Model runs diverge modestly on timing and intensity of cooling, with some projecting brief dips toward 10°C or lower under clearer skies while others hold near 12–14°C under persistent cloud cover. Trader odds reflect this narrow spread plus tail risks from forecast revisions or localized cold-air pooling near Table Mountain, producing closely matched probabilities across the 7–17°C range rather than strong consensus on any single threshold. Updated guidance from agencies like the South African Weather Service will likely tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa na Cidade do Cabo em 3 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa na Cidade do Cabo em 3 de setembro?
7°C ou menos 69%
17°C ou mais 59%
8°C 49%
10°C 28%
NOVO
NOVO
3 set 2026
7°C ou menos
69%
8°C
49%
9°C
25%
10°C
28%
11°C
27%
12°C
26%
13°C
25%
14°C
25%
15°C
20%
16°C
2%
17°C ou mais
59%
7°C ou menos 69%
17°C ou mais 59%
8°C 49%
10°C 28%
NOVO
NOVO
3 set 2026
7°C ou menos
$5 Vol.
69%
8°C
$5 Vol.
49%
9°C
$0 Vol.
25%
10°C
$0 Vol.
28%
11°C
$0 Vol.
27%
12°C
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
25%
14°C
$0 Vol.
25%
15°C
$5 Vol.
20%
16°C
$5 Vol.
2%
17°C ou mais
$5 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Cape Town show daily minimum temperatures on September 3 clustering around 11–13°C amid a frontal system bringing showers and southeasterly winds, consistent with early-spring climatology influenced by the Benguela Current. Model runs diverge modestly on timing and intensity of cooling, with some projecting brief dips toward 10°C or lower under clearer skies while others hold near 12–14°C under persistent cloud cover. Trader odds reflect this narrow spread plus tail risks from forecast revisions or localized cold-air pooling near Table Mountain, producing closely matched probabilities across the 7–17°C range rather than strong consensus on any single threshold. Updated guidance from agencies like the South African Weather Service will likely tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$25Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Cape Town show daily minimum temperatures on September 3 clustering around 11–13°C amid a frontal system bringing showers and southeasterly winds, consistent with early-spring climatology influenced by the Benguela Current. Model runs diverge modestly on timing and intensity of cooling, with some projecting brief dips toward 10°C or lower under clearer skies while others hold near 12–14°C under persistent cloud cover. Trader odds reflect this narrow spread plus tail risks from forecast revisions or localized cold-air pooling near Table Mountain, producing closely matched probabilities across the 7–17°C range rather than strong consensus on any single threshold. Updated guidance from agencies like the South African Weather Service will likely tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Cape Town show daily minimum temperatures on September 3 clustering around 11–13°C amid a frontal system bringing showers and southeasterly winds, consistent with early-spring climatology influenced by the Benguela Current. Model runs diverge modestly on timing and intensity of cooling, with some projecting brief dips toward 10°C or lower under clearer skies while others hold near 12–14°C under persistent cloud cover. Trader odds reflect this narrow spread plus tail risks from forecast revisions or localized cold-air pooling near Table Mountain, producing closely matched probabilities across the 7–17°C range rather than strong consensus on any single threshold. Updated guidance from agencies like the South African Weather Service will likely tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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