Recent forecasts for Moscow on September 3, 2026, show nighttime lows clustered near 13–15°C amid a transitional synoptic pattern, with Atlantic cyclones driving variable advection of warmer southerly versus cooler northerly air masses. This produces the near-even market split between sub-8°C and 18°C+ outcomes, as small shifts in frontal timing, cloud cover, or wind speed can alter overnight radiative cooling rates by several degrees. Historical climatology places the September 3 average low near 10°C, but current model consensus highlights elevated uncertainty from lingering warm anomalies early in the month and expected precipitation that limits clear-sky cooling. Updated runs from agencies like Roshydromet or ECMWF will likely resolve the range as the date approaches.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Moscovo a 3 de setembro?
8°C or below 99%
18°C or higher 98%
15°C 50%
9°C 26%
8°C or below
99%
9°C
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
50%
16°C
26%
17°C
3%
18°C or higher
98%
8°C or below 99%
18°C or higher 98%
15°C 50%
9°C 26%
8°C or below
99%
9°C
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
50%
16°C
26%
17°C
3%
18°C or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Moscow on September 3, 2026, show nighttime lows clustered near 13–15°C amid a transitional synoptic pattern, with Atlantic cyclones driving variable advection of warmer southerly versus cooler northerly air masses. This produces the near-even market split between sub-8°C and 18°C+ outcomes, as small shifts in frontal timing, cloud cover, or wind speed can alter overnight radiative cooling rates by several degrees. Historical climatology places the September 3 average low near 10°C, but current model consensus highlights elevated uncertainty from lingering warm anomalies early in the month and expected precipitation that limits clear-sky cooling. Updated runs from agencies like Roshydromet or ECMWF will likely resolve the range as the date approaches.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions