Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild overnight minimum for Moscow on September 1 near 15–17°C amid southerly flow and limited cloud cover, supporting the near-even market split between 19°C-or-higher (48%) and 9°C-or-below (46.5%) outcomes. Late-August high-pressure dominance and above-average 500-hPa heights have delayed seasonal cooling, yet incoming northwesterly shifts and scattered precipitation could enhance radiative cooling and push the low lower if timing aligns. Historical September 1 minima average around 11°C with high interannual variability tied to jet-stream position, leaving traders focused on the next 48-hour ECMWF and GFS runs for resolution signals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Moscovo a 1 de setembro?
19°C or higher 96%
9°C or below 93%
11°C 50%
12°C 50%
9°C or below
93%
10°C
49%
11°C
50%
12°C
50%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
96%
19°C or higher 96%
9°C or below 93%
11°C 50%
12°C 50%
9°C or below
93%
10°C
49%
11°C
50%
12°C
50%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
50%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild overnight minimum for Moscow on September 1 near 15–17°C amid southerly flow and limited cloud cover, supporting the near-even market split between 19°C-or-higher (48%) and 9°C-or-below (46.5%) outcomes. Late-August high-pressure dominance and above-average 500-hPa heights have delayed seasonal cooling, yet incoming northwesterly shifts and scattered precipitation could enhance radiative cooling and push the low lower if timing aligns. Historical September 1 minima average around 11°C with high interannual variability tied to jet-stream position, leaving traders focused on the next 48-hour ECMWF and GFS runs for resolution signals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions