Official Met Office guidance forecasts a Sunday maximum of 23°C for London under sunny intervals after overnight cloud and showers, aligning with the market's heaviest concentration on 23°C (49%) and 22°C (33.5%). Southwesterly flow advects mild maritime air while moderate winds and variable cloud cover limit surface heating, keeping daytime peaks in the low 20s Celsius—near late-August climatological norms. Model consensus shows only modest disagreement on exact insolation and shower timing, with no signals for stronger warming or cooling that would shift odds toward 24°C or below 22°C. Updated runs and observational trends over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 30 de agosto?
23°C 49%
22°C 34%
24°C 10%
21°C 7%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
7%
22°C
34%
23°C
49%
24°C
10%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 49%
22°C 34%
24°C 10%
21°C 7%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
7%
22°C
34%
23°C
49%
24°C
10%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Met Office guidance forecasts a Sunday maximum of 23°C for London under sunny intervals after overnight cloud and showers, aligning with the market's heaviest concentration on 23°C (49%) and 22°C (33.5%). Southwesterly flow advects mild maritime air while moderate winds and variable cloud cover limit surface heating, keeping daytime peaks in the low 20s Celsius—near late-August climatological norms. Model consensus shows only modest disagreement on exact insolation and shower timing, with no signals for stronger warming or cooling that would shift odds toward 24°C or below 22°C. Updated runs and observational trends over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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