**Trader sentiment for Qingdao's September 1 maximum temperature centers on the narrow 28–30°C band because recent numerical weather models and short-range forecasts converge on highs near 27–29°C under mostly sunny skies and moderate northerly winds.** Coastal Qingdao experiences cooling from Yellow Sea breezes and the early-autumn transition, with current late-August observations around 25–28°C and guidance showing a slight warming trend before seasonal decline. Differences among the closely matched outcomes (29°C at 33.5%, 30°C at 33.0%, 28°C at 26.5%) arise from small model variations in daytime heating, exact cloud timing, wind speed, and urban versus marine influences, all within typical forecast uncertainty for a 48-hour horizon. Authoritative sources such as CMA-aligned guidance and global ensembles indicate low precipitation risk and stable high pressure, keeping extreme outcomes (32°C+ or below 27°C) at single-digit implied probabilities. Updated model runs over the next day will likely narrow the range further before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Qingdao em 1º de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Qingdao em 1º de setembro?
29°C 34%
30°C 33%
28°C 27%
32°C ou mais 17%
NOVO
NOVO
1 set 2026
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
14%
28°C
27%
29°C
34%
30°C
33%
31°C
13%
32°C ou mais
17%
29°C 34%
30°C 33%
28°C 27%
32°C ou mais 17%
NOVO
NOVO
1 set 2026
22°C ou menos
$376 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$376 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$376 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$0 Vol.
14%
28°C
$33 Vol.
27%
29°C
$0 Vol.
34%
30°C
$3 Vol.
33%
31°C
$0 Vol.
13%
32°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Qingdao's September 1 maximum temperature centers on the narrow 28–30°C band because recent numerical weather models and short-range forecasts converge on highs near 27–29°C under mostly sunny skies and moderate northerly winds.** Coastal Qingdao experiences cooling from Yellow Sea breezes and the early-autumn transition, with current late-August observations around 25–28°C and guidance showing a slight warming trend before seasonal decline. Differences among the closely matched outcomes (29°C at 33.5%, 30°C at 33.0%, 28°C at 26.5%) arise from small model variations in daytime heating, exact cloud timing, wind speed, and urban versus marine influences, all within typical forecast uncertainty for a 48-hour horizon. Authoritative sources such as CMA-aligned guidance and global ensembles indicate low precipitation risk and stable high pressure, keeping extreme outcomes (32°C+ or below 27°C) at single-digit implied probabilities. Updated model runs over the next day will likely narrow the range further before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,164Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Qingdao's September 1 maximum temperature centers on the narrow 28–30°C band because recent numerical weather models and short-range forecasts converge on highs near 27–29°C under mostly sunny skies and moderate northerly winds.** Coastal Qingdao experiences cooling from Yellow Sea breezes and the early-autumn transition, with current late-August observations around 25–28°C and guidance showing a slight warming trend before seasonal decline. Differences among the closely matched outcomes (29°C at 33.5%, 30°C at 33.0%, 28°C at 26.5%) arise from small model variations in daytime heating, exact cloud timing, wind speed, and urban versus marine influences, all within typical forecast uncertainty for a 48-hour horizon. Authoritative sources such as CMA-aligned guidance and global ensembles indicate low precipitation risk and stable high pressure, keeping extreme outcomes (32°C+ or below 27°C) at single-digit implied probabilities. Updated model runs over the next day will likely narrow the range further before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,164Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Qingdao's September 1 maximum temperature centers on the narrow 28–30°C band because recent numerical weather models and short-range forecasts converge on highs near 27–29°C under mostly sunny skies and moderate northerly winds.** Coastal Qingdao experiences cooling from Yellow Sea breezes and the early-autumn transition, with current late-August observations around 25–28°C and guidance showing a slight warming trend before seasonal decline. Differences among the closely matched outcomes (29°C at 33.5%, 30°C at 33.0%, 28°C at 26.5%) arise from small model variations in daytime heating, exact cloud timing, wind speed, and urban versus marine influences, all within typical forecast uncertainty for a 48-hour horizon. Authoritative sources such as CMA-aligned guidance and global ensembles indicate low precipitation risk and stable high pressure, keeping extreme outcomes (32°C+ or below 27°C) at single-digit implied probabilities. Updated model runs over the next day will likely narrow the range further before market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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