**Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 1 point to a mild spring day with highs most likely in the 17–19°C range, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities.** Multiple models show southerly to southwesterly winds under building high pressure, moderating temperatures near the historical average of about 17–18°C for early September while limiting afternoon warming. Recent late-August observations, with highs fluctuating between 16–20°C amid variable cloud cover and no strong warm advection, support this consensus. Model runs indicate low precipitation risk and stable conditions, though minor shifts in wind direction or timing of any coastal stratus could nudge the peak by 1–2°C. With resolution just days away, traders are weighting the tight clustering of official guidance and ensemble outputs that favor 18–19°C over more extreme outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do Cabo em 1 de setembro?
19°C 44%
18°C 32%
20°C 27%
17°C 20%
15°C ou menos
2%
16°C
19%
17°C
14%
18°C
32%
19°C
44%
20°C
27%
21°C
19%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C ou mais
<1%
19°C 44%
18°C 32%
20°C 27%
17°C 20%
15°C ou menos
2%
16°C
19%
17°C
14%
18°C
32%
19°C
44%
20°C
27%
21°C
19%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Cape Town on September 1 point to a mild spring day with highs most likely in the 17–19°C range, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities.** Multiple models show southerly to southwesterly winds under building high pressure, moderating temperatures near the historical average of about 17–18°C for early September while limiting afternoon warming. Recent late-August observations, with highs fluctuating between 16–20°C amid variable cloud cover and no strong warm advection, support this consensus. Model runs indicate low precipitation risk and stable conditions, though minor shifts in wind direction or timing of any coastal stratus could nudge the peak by 1–2°C. With resolution just days away, traders are weighting the tight clustering of official guidance and ensemble outputs that favor 18–19°C over more extreme outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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