Forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate daytime highs of 31–33°C for Chengdu on September 1, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and low precipitation chances (under 20%) support daytime heating, while basin topography and high pressure promote subsidence and reduced cloud cover. Historical early-September averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet current model consensus points above this baseline due to persistent warmth. Traders’ even distribution across temperature bins reflects remaining uncertainty in exact peak values from minor variations in timing, humidity, or localized convection ahead of final observational data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chengdu em 1º de setembro?
34°C 24%
35°C 19%
38°C or higher 19%
33°C 13%
28°C or below
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
11%
33°C
13%
34°C
24%
35°C
19%
36°C
11%
37°C
10%
38°C or higher
19%
34°C 24%
35°C 19%
38°C or higher 19%
33°C 13%
28°C or below
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
11%
33°C
13%
34°C
24%
35°C
19%
36°C
11%
37°C
10%
38°C or higher
19%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate daytime highs of 31–33°C for Chengdu on September 1, consistent with late-summer subtropical conditions in the Sichuan Basin. Clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and low precipitation chances (under 20%) support daytime heating, while basin topography and high pressure promote subsidence and reduced cloud cover. Historical early-September averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet current model consensus points above this baseline due to persistent warmth. Traders’ even distribution across temperature bins reflects remaining uncertainty in exact peak values from minor variations in timing, humidity, or localized convection ahead of final observational data.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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