Recent model runs under dominant continental high pressure indicate mostly clear conditions for Chongqing on September 3, supporting nighttime radiational cooling that could produce lows near 21–24°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these thresholds because small differences in wind speed, humidity, or residual cloud cover can shift the minimum by 2–3°C. Historical September averages near 23°C provide context, yet the tight spread in trader consensus highlights genuine short-term forecast uncertainty typical of subtropical high-pressure regimes. Official updates from local meteorological services over the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Chongqing no dia 3 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Chongqing no dia 3 de setembro?
18°C or below 96%
27°C 89%
26°C 48%
21°C 46%
NOVO
NOVO
3 set 2026
18°C or below
96%
19°C
25%
20°C
25%
21°C
46%
22°C
26%
23°C
25%
24°C
45%
25°C
25%
26°C
48%
27°C
89%
28°C or higher
2%
18°C or below 96%
27°C 89%
26°C 48%
21°C 46%
NOVO
NOVO
3 set 2026
18°C or below
$5 Vol.
96%
19°C
$0 Vol.
25%
20°C
$0 Vol.
25%
21°C
$0 Vol.
46%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$0 Vol.
25%
24°C
$0 Vol.
45%
25°C
$0 Vol.
25%
26°C
$5 Vol.
48%
27°C
$5 Vol.
89%
28°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs under dominant continental high pressure indicate mostly clear conditions for Chongqing on September 3, supporting nighttime radiational cooling that could produce lows near 21–24°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these thresholds because small differences in wind speed, humidity, or residual cloud cover can shift the minimum by 2–3°C. Historical September averages near 23°C provide context, yet the tight spread in trader consensus highlights genuine short-term forecast uncertainty typical of subtropical high-pressure regimes. Official updates from local meteorological services over the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$20Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs under dominant continental high pressure indicate mostly clear conditions for Chongqing on September 3, supporting nighttime radiational cooling that could produce lows near 21–24°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these thresholds because small differences in wind speed, humidity, or residual cloud cover can shift the minimum by 2–3°C. Historical September averages near 23°C provide context, yet the tight spread in trader consensus highlights genuine short-term forecast uncertainty typical of subtropical high-pressure regimes. Official updates from local meteorological services over the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$20Data de Término
3 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs under dominant continental high pressure indicate mostly clear conditions for Chongqing on September 3, supporting nighttime radiational cooling that could produce lows near 21–24°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these thresholds because small differences in wind speed, humidity, or residual cloud cover can shift the minimum by 2–3°C. Historical September averages near 23°C provide context, yet the tight spread in trader consensus highlights genuine short-term forecast uncertainty typical of subtropical high-pressure regimes. Official updates from local meteorological services over the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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