Recent model consensus from agencies like the Brazilian meteorological services points to a post-frontal cool air mass over São Paulo on September 2, with southerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating and supporting a maximum near 19–21 °C. This setup follows an earlier warm spell and aligns with climatological September averages of 22–23 °C being tempered by the current advection of drier, cooler maritime air. Traders price the 20–22 °C outcomes highest because ensemble spreads remain narrow around these values, though small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Official observations from Congonhas or official INMET stations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 2 de setembro?
20°C 30%
21°C 29%
19°C 16%
22°C 13%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
6%
19°C
16%
20°C
30%
21°C
29%
22°C
13%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 30%
21°C 29%
19°C 16%
22°C 13%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
6%
19°C
16%
20°C
30%
21°C
29%
22°C
13%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies like the Brazilian meteorological services points to a post-frontal cool air mass over São Paulo on September 2, with southerly flow and partial cloud cover limiting daytime heating and supporting a maximum near 19–21 °C. This setup follows an earlier warm spell and aligns with climatological September averages of 22–23 °C being tempered by the current advection of drier, cooler maritime air. Traders price the 20–22 °C outcomes highest because ensemble spreads remain narrow around these values, though small differences in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Official observations from Congonhas or official INMET stations will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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