Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Los Angeles on September 4 project overnight lows in the mid-60s, driven by persistent marine layer influence, light southwest winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 64.5°F for the date and recent model consensus showing no strong onshore push or heat advection to alter the pattern. The 66–67°F outcome leads at 46% implied probability because it matches the most probable range from official guidance, while the 32.5% odds on 55°F or below reflect the historical record low but require an atypical cold surge unlikely under current conditions. Traders are weighting the stable, near-normal setup heavily ahead of final evening observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Los Angeles no dia 4 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Los Angeles no dia 4 de setembro?
74°F ou mais 66%
66-67°F 62%
55°F ou menos 46%
60-61°F 44%
NOVO
NOVO
4 set 2026
55°F ou menos
46%
56-57°F
43%
58-59°F
43%
60-61°F
44%
62-63°F
24%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
39%
68-69°F
25%
21°C - 21,6°C
9%
72-73°F
42%
74°F ou mais
66%
74°F ou mais 66%
66-67°F 62%
55°F ou menos 46%
60-61°F 44%
NOVO
NOVO
4 set 2026
55°F ou menos
$0 Vol.
46%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
43%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
43%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
44%
62-63°F
$13 Vol.
24%
64-65°F
$16 Vol.
26%
66-67°F
$80 Vol.
39%
68-69°F
$174 Vol.
25%
21°C - 21,6°C
$5 Vol.
9%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
42%
74°F ou mais
$0 Vol.
66%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Los Angeles on September 4 project overnight lows in the mid-60s, driven by persistent marine layer influence, light southwest winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 64.5°F for the date and recent model consensus showing no strong onshore push or heat advection to alter the pattern. The 66–67°F outcome leads at 46% implied probability because it matches the most probable range from official guidance, while the 32.5% odds on 55°F or below reflect the historical record low but require an atypical cold surge unlikely under current conditions. Traders are weighting the stable, near-normal setup heavily ahead of final evening observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$287Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Los Angeles on September 4 project overnight lows in the mid-60s, driven by persistent marine layer influence, light southwest winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 64.5°F for the date and recent model consensus showing no strong onshore push or heat advection to alter the pattern. The 66–67°F outcome leads at 46% implied probability because it matches the most probable range from official guidance, while the 32.5% odds on 55°F or below reflect the historical record low but require an atypical cold surge unlikely under current conditions. Traders are weighting the stable, near-normal setup heavily ahead of final evening observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$287Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts for Los Angeles on September 4 project overnight lows in the mid-60s, driven by persistent marine layer influence, light southwest winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 64.5°F for the date and recent model consensus showing no strong onshore push or heat advection to alter the pattern. The 66–67°F outcome leads at 46% implied probability because it matches the most probable range from official guidance, while the 32.5% odds on 55°F or below reflect the historical record low but require an atypical cold surge unlikely under current conditions. Traders are weighting the stable, near-normal setup heavily ahead of final evening observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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