Recent forecasts from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional highlight a post-frontal cold air mass advecting into Buenos Aires on September 5, with southerly winds and high pressure promoting radiational cooling overnight. Model consensus points to minimum temperatures clustering near 4–8°C, though variations in cloud cover, exact wind speeds, and the strength of cold advection create spread across ensemble runs. This uncertainty underpins the tight market clustering around 5–6°C outcomes, while the notable share for 13°C or higher reflects scenarios where milder maritime air lingers or mixing limits nocturnal drops. Traders monitor updated SMN briefings and model guidance for resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Buenos Aires em 5 de setembro?
13°C ou mais 59%
4°C 48%
9°C 48%
3°C ou menos 40%
3°C ou menos
40%
4°C
48%
5°C
30%
6°C
31%
7°C
27%
8°C
26%
9°C
48%
10°C
37%
11°C
7%
12°C
7%
13°C ou mais
59%
13°C ou mais 59%
4°C 48%
9°C 48%
3°C ou menos 40%
3°C ou menos
40%
4°C
48%
5°C
30%
6°C
31%
7°C
27%
8°C
26%
9°C
48%
10°C
37%
11°C
7%
12°C
7%
13°C ou mais
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 3, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional highlight a post-frontal cold air mass advecting into Buenos Aires on September 5, with southerly winds and high pressure promoting radiational cooling overnight. Model consensus points to minimum temperatures clustering near 4–8°C, though variations in cloud cover, exact wind speeds, and the strength of cold advection create spread across ensemble runs. This uncertainty underpins the tight market clustering around 5–6°C outcomes, while the notable share for 13°C or higher reflects scenarios where milder maritime air lingers or mixing limits nocturnal drops. Traders monitor updated SMN briefings and model guidance for resolution thresholds tied to official station readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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