Clear skies and light easterly or southeasterly winds overnight favor radiational cooling in Cape Town, positioning minimum temperatures in the low-to-mid teens Celsius as the central range for September 6. Official forecasts from multiple models converge on an overnight low near 13–14 °C, consistent with typical early-spring conditions where daytime highs near 23–26 °C give way to rapid heat loss after sunset. Recent cooler minima earlier in the month, including a 5.9 °C reading on September 1, appear to anchor trader focus on the possibility of another dip below 12 °C, elevating the 11 °C-or-below outcome to 45 % implied probability. With resolution hinging on the precise official minimum reported for the meteorological day, any late-model shift in wind speed or cloud cover could quickly alter the distribution among the clustered 12–14 °C bins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa na Cidade do Cabo em 6 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa na Cidade do Cabo em 6 de setembro?
14°C 29%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
15°C 26%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
11°C ou menos
45%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
29%
15°C
26%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C ou mais
<1%
14°C 29%
12°C 27%
13°C 27%
15°C 26%
NOVO
NOVO
6 set 2026
11°C ou menos
$8 Vol.
45%
12°C
$0 Vol.
27%
13°C
$1 Vol.
27%
14°C
$1 Vol.
29%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
21°C ou mais
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light easterly or southeasterly winds overnight favor radiational cooling in Cape Town, positioning minimum temperatures in the low-to-mid teens Celsius as the central range for September 6. Official forecasts from multiple models converge on an overnight low near 13–14 °C, consistent with typical early-spring conditions where daytime highs near 23–26 °C give way to rapid heat loss after sunset. Recent cooler minima earlier in the month, including a 5.9 °C reading on September 1, appear to anchor trader focus on the possibility of another dip below 12 °C, elevating the 11 °C-or-below outcome to 45 % implied probability. With resolution hinging on the precise official minimum reported for the meteorological day, any late-model shift in wind speed or cloud cover could quickly alter the distribution among the clustered 12–14 °C bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$265Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light easterly or southeasterly winds overnight favor radiational cooling in Cape Town, positioning minimum temperatures in the low-to-mid teens Celsius as the central range for September 6. Official forecasts from multiple models converge on an overnight low near 13–14 °C, consistent with typical early-spring conditions where daytime highs near 23–26 °C give way to rapid heat loss after sunset. Recent cooler minima earlier in the month, including a 5.9 °C reading on September 1, appear to anchor trader focus on the possibility of another dip below 12 °C, elevating the 11 °C-or-below outcome to 45 % implied probability. With resolution hinging on the precise official minimum reported for the meteorological day, any late-model shift in wind speed or cloud cover could quickly alter the distribution among the clustered 12–14 °C bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$265Data de Término
6 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and light easterly or southeasterly winds overnight favor radiational cooling in Cape Town, positioning minimum temperatures in the low-to-mid teens Celsius as the central range for September 6. Official forecasts from multiple models converge on an overnight low near 13–14 °C, consistent with typical early-spring conditions where daytime highs near 23–26 °C give way to rapid heat loss after sunset. Recent cooler minima earlier in the month, including a 5.9 °C reading on September 1, appear to anchor trader focus on the possibility of another dip below 12 °C, elevating the 11 °C-or-below outcome to 45 % implied probability. With resolution hinging on the precise official minimum reported for the meteorological day, any late-model shift in wind speed or cloud cover could quickly alter the distribution among the clustered 12–14 °C bins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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