Recent forecast model runs from sources including the National Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a cool overnight period for Buenos Aires on September 7, with minimum temperatures most likely in the 4–6°C range under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. This setup follows a recent southward surge of cooler air that dropped readings to near 3°C on September 6. Trader positioning favoring 1°C or below as the leading outcome at 65.5% implied probability reflects emphasis on potential model underestimation of radiative cooling or slight westward shifts in the high-pressure ridge, while the 23.5% on 3°C captures the central forecast cluster. Resolution hinges on the official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional daily minimum, with the next updated model suite expected to refine overnight boundary-layer details.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Buenos Aires no dia 7 de setembro?
1°C ou menos 70%
11°C ou mais 28%
3°C 27%
4°C 21%
1°C ou menos
70%
2°C
19%
3°C
20%
4°C
21%
5°C
11%
6°C
7%
7°C
14%
8°C
15%
9°C
15%
10°C
15%
11°C ou mais
28%
1°C ou menos 70%
11°C ou mais 28%
3°C 27%
4°C 21%
1°C ou menos
70%
2°C
19%
3°C
20%
4°C
21%
5°C
11%
6°C
7%
7°C
14%
8°C
15%
9°C
15%
10°C
15%
11°C ou mais
28%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 5, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources including the National Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a cool overnight period for Buenos Aires on September 7, with minimum temperatures most likely in the 4–6°C range under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. This setup follows a recent southward surge of cooler air that dropped readings to near 3°C on September 6. Trader positioning favoring 1°C or below as the leading outcome at 65.5% implied probability reflects emphasis on potential model underestimation of radiative cooling or slight westward shifts in the high-pressure ridge, while the 23.5% on 3°C captures the central forecast cluster. Resolution hinges on the official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional daily minimum, with the next updated model suite expected to refine overnight boundary-layer details.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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