Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to northerly flow and high pressure building behind a frontal passage, limiting moisture advection and capping highs for New York City on September 5 near the upper 70s to low 80s. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 80-81°F and 78-79°F outcomes, as reduced southerly winds and clearer skies suppress afternoon heating compared to recent humid conditions. Key variables include precise wind direction shifts, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day sea-breeze effects that could nudge readings across 80°F thresholds. Historical September averages near 80°F provide context, though current guidance shows modest cooling relative to early-month warmth. Updated model runs and NWS briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities amid inherent forecast uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Nova York em 5 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 5 de setembro?
80-81°F 42%
76-77°F 22%
78-79°F 22%
84-85°F 20%
NOVO
NOVO
5 set 2026
69°F ou menos
1%
21-22°C
2%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
42%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
20%
30-30,5°C
17%
88°F ou mais
7%
80-81°F 42%
76-77°F 22%
78-79°F 22%
84-85°F 20%
NOVO
NOVO
5 set 2026
69°F ou menos
$0 Vol.
1%
21-22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
9%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
22%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
22%
80-81°F
$318 Vol.
42%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
17%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
20%
30-30,5°C
$0 Vol.
17%
88°F ou mais
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to northerly flow and high pressure building behind a frontal passage, limiting moisture advection and capping highs for New York City on September 5 near the upper 70s to low 80s. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 80-81°F and 78-79°F outcomes, as reduced southerly winds and clearer skies suppress afternoon heating compared to recent humid conditions. Key variables include precise wind direction shifts, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day sea-breeze effects that could nudge readings across 80°F thresholds. Historical September averages near 80°F provide context, though current guidance shows modest cooling relative to early-month warmth. Updated model runs and NWS briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities amid inherent forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$263Data de Término
5 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to northerly flow and high pressure building behind a frontal passage, limiting moisture advection and capping highs for New York City on September 5 near the upper 70s to low 80s. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 80-81°F and 78-79°F outcomes, as reduced southerly winds and clearer skies suppress afternoon heating compared to recent humid conditions. Key variables include precise wind direction shifts, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day sea-breeze effects that could nudge readings across 80°F thresholds. Historical September averages near 80°F provide context, though current guidance shows modest cooling relative to early-month warmth. Updated model runs and NWS briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities amid inherent forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$263Data de Término
5 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus point to northerly flow and high pressure building behind a frontal passage, limiting moisture advection and capping highs for New York City on September 5 near the upper 70s to low 80s. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 80-81°F and 78-79°F outcomes, as reduced southerly winds and clearer skies suppress afternoon heating compared to recent humid conditions. Key variables include precise wind direction shifts, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day sea-breeze effects that could nudge readings across 80°F thresholds. Historical September averages near 80°F provide context, though current guidance shows modest cooling relative to early-month warmth. Updated model runs and NWS briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities amid inherent forecast uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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