Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin on September 5 points to a high in the mid-90s, driven by continued southerly flow, high dew points near 75°F, and partly cloudy skies with only a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance. Recent days have featured highs near or above 98°F under similar patterns, but a modest cooling trend and increased cloud cover are expected to cap the peak. Historical September 5 averages near 94°F provide climatological context, while model spread and timing of any convection introduce uncertainty around the exact maximum. These conditions underpin trader consensus around the 94–97°F range as the most probable resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 5 de setembro?
94-95°F 41%
92-93°F 34%
96-97°F 29%
90-91°F 21%
85°F ou menos
1%
30-30,5°C
2%
88-89°F
10%
90-91°F
21%
92-93°F
34%
94-95°F
41%
96-97°F
29%
98-99°F
10%
100-101°F
17%
102-103°F
10%
104°F ou mais
9%
94-95°F 41%
92-93°F 34%
96-97°F 29%
90-91°F 21%
85°F ou menos
1%
30-30,5°C
2%
88-89°F
10%
90-91°F
21%
92-93°F
34%
94-95°F
41%
96-97°F
29%
98-99°F
10%
100-101°F
17%
102-103°F
10%
104°F ou mais
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance for Austin on September 5 points to a high in the mid-90s, driven by continued southerly flow, high dew points near 75°F, and partly cloudy skies with only a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance. Recent days have featured highs near or above 98°F under similar patterns, but a modest cooling trend and increased cloud cover are expected to cap the peak. Historical September 5 averages near 94°F provide climatological context, while model spread and timing of any convection introduce uncertainty around the exact maximum. These conditions underpin trader consensus around the 94–97°F range as the most probable resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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